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Pakistan tour of South Africa · 2024/25 · Men
26 Dec 2024 · Test
Centurion Park · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony de Zorzilbw · Mohammad Abbas 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mohammad Abbas | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 15.38 |
 Aiden Markrambowled · Mohammad Abbas6 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mohammad Abbas | 37 | 63 | 6 | 0 | 58.73 |
 Ryan Rickeltonlbw · Khurram Shehzad0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Khurram Shehzad | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Tristan Stubbslbw · Mohammad Abbas 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mohammad Abbas | 1 |
| 10 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 10.00 |
 Temba Bavumacaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Mohammad Abbas4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Mohammad Abbas | 40 | 78 | 4 | 1 | 51.28 |
|---|
| David Bedinghamcaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Mohammad Abbas 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Mohammad Abbas | 14 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Kyle Verreynnebowled · Naseem Shah 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Naseem Shah | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Marco Jansennot out3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 16* | 24 | 3 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Corbin Boschcaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Mohammad Abbas 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Mohammad Abbas | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Kagiso Rabadanot out5 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 31* | 26 | 5 | 0 | 119.23 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 0 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khurram Shehzad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 47 | 1 | 4.70 | 0 | 0 |
 Mohammad Abbas6 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 19.3 | 6 | 54 | 6 | 2.77 | 0 | 1 |
 Naseem Shah0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 3.78 | 0 | 1 |
| Aamer Jamal0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 1 |
1-11 (Tony de Zorzi, 3.3) · 2-12 (Ryan Rickelton, 4.5) · 3-19 (Tristan Stubbs, 7.5) · 4-62 (Aiden Markram, 23.3) · 5-96 (Temba Bavuma, 29.4) · 6-99 (Kyle Verreynne, 31.0) · 7-99 (David Bedingham, 31.2) · 8-99 (Corbin Bosch, 31.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 10/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 11/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 12/2 |
| 6 | 3 | 15/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 19/2 |
| 8 | 0 | 19/3 |
| 9 | 8 | 27/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 31/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 35/3 |
| 12 | 0 | 35/3 |
| 13 | 2 | 37/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 42/3 |
| 15 | 6 | 48/3 |
| 16 | 1 | 49/3 |
| 17 | 1 | 50/3 |
| 18 | 0 | 50/3 |
| 19 | 1 | 51/3 |
| 20 | 6 | 57/3 |
| 21 | 4 | 61/3 |
| 22 | 0 | 61/3 |
| 23 | 1 | 62/3 |
| 24 | 4 | 66/4 |
| 25 | 7 | 73/4 |
| 26 | 3 | 76/4 |
| 27 | 5 | 81/4 |
| 28 | 4 | 85/4 |
| 29 | 8 | 93/4 |
| 30 | 4 | 97/5 |
| 31 | 2 | 99/6 |
| 32 | 5 | 104/8 |
| 33 | 7 | 111/8 |
| 34 | 5 | 116/8 |
| 35 | 4 | 120/8 |
| 36 | 1 | 121/8 |
| 37 | 8 | 129/8 |
| 38 | 4 | 133/8 |
| 39 | 11 | 144/8 |
| 40 | 6 | 150/8 |
Mohammad Abbas: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Temba Bavuma: Michael Sherman · CC BY 3.0
Marco Jansen: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Dane Paterson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Naseem Shah: BBC Urdu · CC BY 3.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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