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Pakistan tour of South Africa · 2024/25 · Men
26 Dec 2024 · Test
Centurion Park · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aiden Markramcaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Khurram Shehzad15 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Khurram Shehzad | 89 | 144 | 15 | 0 | 61.81 |
| Tony de Zorzibowled · Khurram Shehzad 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Khurram Shehzad | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
 Ryan Rickeltoncaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Khurram Shehzad2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Khurram Shehzad | 8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Tristan Stubbslbw · Mohammad Abbas2 fours · 0 sixes |
| lbw · b Mohammad Abbas |
| 9 |
| 28 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 32.14 |
 Temba Bavumacaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Aamer Jamal4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Aamer Jamal | 31 | 74 | 4 | 0 | 41.89 |
|---|
| David Bedinghamcaught · Kamran Ghulam · Naseem Shah 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kamran Ghulam · b Naseem Shah | 30 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 90.91 |
|---|
| Kyle Verreynnecaught · Salman Ali Agha · Naseem Shah 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Salman Ali Agha · b Naseem Shah | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 15.38 |
|---|
 Marco Jansencaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Naseem Shah0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Naseem Shah | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 15.38 |
|---|
| Corbin Boschnot out 15 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 81* | 93 | 15 | 0 | 87.10 |
|---|
 Kagiso Rabadacaught · Mohammad Babar Azam · Aamer Jamal1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Babar Azam · b Aamer Jamal | 13 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 86.67 |
|---|
 Dane Patersoncaught · Khurram Shehzad · Saim Ayub1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Khurram Shehzad · b Saim Ayub | 12 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 10 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 1 · noballs: 5 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khurram Shehzad1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 20.0 | 1 | 75 | 3 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Mohammad Abbas4 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 21.0 | 4 | 79 | 1 | 3.76 | 0 | 2 |
 Naseem Shah1 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 22.0 | 1 | 92 | 3 | 4.18 | 0 | 3 |
| Aamer Jamal1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 36 | 2 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Saim Ayub0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1.13 | 0 | 0 |
1-7 (Tony de Zorzi, 3.0) · 2-24 (Ryan Rickelton, 6.4) · 3-66 (Tristan Stubbs, 15.4) · 4-136 (Temba Bavuma, 36.4) · 5-178 (David Bedingham, 45.0) · 6-188 (Kyle Verreynne, 48.3) · 7-191 (Marco Jansen, 50.4) · 8-213 (Aiden Markram, 55.5) · 9-254 (Kagiso Rabada, 62.5) · 10-301 (Dane Paterson, 73.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 7/1 |
| 4 | 0 | 7/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 11/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 20/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 28/2 |
| 8 | 10 | 38/2 |
| 9 | 0 | 38/2 |
| 10 | 1 | 39/2 |
| 11 | 9 | 48/2 |
| 12 | 6 | 54/2 |
| 13 | 3 | 57/2 |
| 14 | 4 | 61/2 |
| 15 | 5 | 66/2 |
| 16 | 4 | 70/3 |
| 17 | 1 | 71/3 |
| 18 | 2 | 73/3 |
| 19 | 1 | 74/3 |
| 20 | 5 | 79/3 |
| 21 | 1 | 80/3 |
| 22 | 2 | 82/3 |
| 23 | 1 | 83/3 |
| 24 | 1 | 84/3 |
| 25 | 8 | 92/3 |
| 26 | 1 | 93/3 |
| 27 | 6 | 99/3 |
| 28 | 6 | 105/3 |
| 29 | 4 | 109/3 |
| 30 | 5 | 114/3 |
| 31 | 4 | 118/3 |
| 32 | 2 | 120/3 |
| 33 | 7 | 127/3 |
| 34 | 0 | 127/3 |
| 35 | 6 | 133/3 |
| 36 | 2 | 135/3 |
| 37 | 4 | 139/4 |
| 38 | 8 | 147/4 |
| 39 | 0 | 147/4 |
| 40 | 6 | 153/4 |
| 41 | 1 | 154/4 |
| 42 | 2 | 156/4 |
| 43 | 11 | 167/4 |
| 44 | 5 | 172/4 |
| 45 | 6 | 178/5 |
| 46 | 2 | 180/5 |
| 47 | 2 | 182/5 |
| 48 | 1 | 183/5 |
| 49 | 6 | 189/6 |
| 50 | 1 | 190/6 |
| 51 | 3 | 193/7 |
| 52 | 9 | 202/7 |
| 53 | 0 | 202/7 |
| 54 | 1 | 203/7 |
| 55 | 8 | 211/7 |
| 56 | 2 | 213/8 |
| 57 | 4 | 217/8 |
| 58 | 6 | 223/8 |
| 59 | 8 | 231/8 |
| 60 | 8 | 239/8 |
| 61 | 4 | 243/8 |
| 62 | 6 | 249/8 |
| 63 | 5 | 254/9 |
| 64 | 5 | 259/9 |
| 65 | 9 | 268/9 |
| 66 | 11 | 279/9 |
| 67 | 1 | 280/9 |
| 68 | 1 | 281/9 |
| 69 | 2 | 283/9 |
| 70 | 5 | 288/9 |
| 71 | 2 | 290/9 |
| 72 | 1 | 291/9 |
| 73 | 9 | 300/9 |
| 74 | 1 | 301/10 |
Mohammad Abbas: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Temba Bavuma: Michael Sherman · CC BY 3.0
Marco Jansen: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Dane Paterson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Naseem Shah: BBC Urdu · CC BY 3.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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