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Photo: Dominic Sayers from London, England
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
South Africa tour of West Indies · 2024 · Men
7 Aug 2024 · Test
Queen's Park Oval, Port of Spain, Trinidad · Venue photographSouth Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kraigg Brathwaiterun out · Wiaan Mulder · Lungi Ngidi2 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Wiaan Mulder | 35 | 131 | 2 | 1 | 26.72 |
| Mikyle Louisbowled · Keshav Maharaj 5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Keshav Maharaj | 35 | 90 | 5 | 0 | 38.89 |
| Keacy Cartylbw · Keshav Maharaj 5 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Keshav Maharaj | 42 | 81 | 5 | 0 | 51.85 |
| Alick Athanazecaught · Aiden Markram · Keshav Maharaj 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aiden Markram · b Keshav Maharaj | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 15.00 |
| caught · David Bedingham · b Kagiso Rabada |
| 25 |
| 92 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 27.17 |
 Jason Holderbowled · Aiden Markram4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aiden Markram | 36 | 61 | 4 | 0 | 59.02 |
|---|
 Joshua Da Silvacaught · Tony de Zorzi · Keshav Maharaj0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tony de Zorzi · b Keshav Maharaj | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Kemar Roachlbw · Kagiso Rabada2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kagiso Rabada | 8 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 23.53 |
|---|
| Gudakesh Motiecaught · Aiden Markram · Kagiso Rabada 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aiden Markram · b Kagiso Rabada | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Jomel Warricannot out 3 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 35* | 32 | 3 | 2 | 109.38 |
|---|
| Jayden Sealesbowled · Lungi Ngidi 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Lungi Ngidi | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 0 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kagiso Rabada3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 18.0 | 3 | 56 | 3 | 3.11 | 0 | 0 |
 Lungi Ngidi5 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 11.5 | 5 | 26 | 1 | 2.20 | 0 | 1 |
 Wiaan Mulder2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 2.78 | 0 | 0 |
 Keshav Maharaj15 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 40.0 | 15 | 76 | 4 | 1.90 | 0 | 0 |
 Aiden Markram1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.0 | 1 | 42 | 1 | 3.23 | 0 | 0 |
1-53 (Mikyle Louis, 27.0) · 2-114 (Kraigg Brathwaite, 49.2) · 3-119 (Keacy Carty, 50.3) · 4-124 (Alick Athanaze, 56.3) · 5-173 (Jason Holder, 75.4) · 6-174 (Joshua Da Silva, 76.1) · 7-188 (Kavem Hodge, 83.4) · 8-192 (Gudakesh Motie, 85.1) · 9-215 (Kemar Roach, 87.4) · 10-233 (Jayden Seales, 91.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 5/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 5/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 8/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 12/0 |
| 7 | 2 | 14/0 |
| 8 | 5 | 19/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 23/0 |
| 10 | 0 | 23/0 |
| 11 | 4 | 27/0 |
| 12 | 1 | 28/0 |
| 13 | 0 | 28/0 |
| 14 | 6 | 34/0 |
| 15 | 0 | 34/0 |
| 16 | 2 | 36/0 |
| 17 | 4 | 40/0 |
| 18 | 6 | 46/0 |
| 19 | 0 | 46/0 |
| 20 | 0 | 46/0 |
| 21 | 2 | 48/0 |
| 22 | 1 | 49/0 |
| 23 | 2 | 51/0 |
| 24 | 1 | 52/0 |
| 25 | 0 | 52/0 |
| 26 | 1 | 53/0 |
| 27 | 0 | 53/1 |
| 28 | 4 | 57/1 |
| 29 | 3 | 60/1 |
| 30 | 4 | 64/1 |
| 31 | 6 | 70/1 |
| 32 | 0 | 70/1 |
| 33 | 6 | 76/1 |
| 34 | 2 | 78/1 |
| 35 | 2 | 80/1 |
| 36 | 5 | 85/1 |
| 37 | 1 | 86/1 |
| 38 | 0 | 86/1 |
| 39 | 7 | 93/1 |
| 40 | 5 | 98/1 |
| 41 | 0 | 98/1 |
| 42 | 2 | 100/1 |
| 43 | 0 | 100/1 |
| 44 | 3 | 103/1 |
| 45 | 2 | 105/1 |
| 46 | 2 | 107/1 |
| 47 | 0 | 107/1 |
| 48 | 2 | 109/1 |
| 49 | 4 | 113/1 |
| 50 | 5 | 118/2 |
| 51 | 1 | 119/3 |
| 52 | 0 | 119/3 |
| 53 | 2 | 121/3 |
| 54 | 0 | 121/3 |
| 55 | 0 | 121/3 |
| 56 | 3 | 124/3 |
| 57 | 0 | 124/4 |
| 58 | 0 | 124/4 |
| 59 | 0 | 124/4 |
| 60 | 1 | 125/4 |
| 61 | 0 | 125/4 |
| 62 | 5 | 130/4 |
| 63 | 1 | 131/4 |
| 64 | 2 | 133/4 |
| 65 | 2 | 135/4 |
| 66 | 10 | 145/4 |
| 67 | 0 | 145/4 |
| 68 | 5 | 150/4 |
| 69 | 3 | 153/4 |
| 70 | 6 | 159/4 |
| 71 | 1 | 160/4 |
| 72 | 2 | 162/4 |
| 73 | 1 | 163/4 |
| 74 | 3 | 166/4 |
| 75 | 1 | 167/4 |
| 76 | 7 | 174/5 |
| 77 | 0 | 174/6 |
| 78 | 1 | 175/6 |
| 79 | 1 | 176/6 |
| 80 | 4 | 180/6 |
| 81 | 0 | 180/6 |
| 82 | 5 | 185/6 |
| 83 | 1 | 186/6 |
| 84 | 2 | 188/7 |
| 85 | 4 | 192/7 |
| 86 | 7 | 199/8 |
| 87 | 13 | 212/8 |
| 88 | 3 | 215/9 |
| 89 | 5 | 220/9 |
| 90 | 7 | 227/9 |
| 91 | 1 | 228/9 |
| 92 | 5 | 233/10 |
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Temba Bavuma: Michael Sherman · CC BY 3.0
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Keshav Maharaj: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jason Holder: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Kemar Roach: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Lungi Ngidi: Starc99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kraigg Brathwaite: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joshua Da Silva: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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