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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2024 · Men
17 Aug 2024 · ODI
Recorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 75%; Netherlands batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Levittcaught · Nicholas Kirton · Kaleem Sana 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nicholas Kirton · b Kaleem Sana | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Max O'Dowdlbw · Harsh Thaker 3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Harsh Thaker | 18 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Vikramjit Singhcaught · Nicholas Kirton · Dillon Heyliger 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nicholas Kirton · b Dillon Heyliger | 25 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 108.70 |
| Musa Ahmedcaught · Harsh Thaker · Kaleem Sana 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harsh Thaker · b Kaleem Sana | 8 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 34.78 |
| Scott Edwardscaught · Shreyas Movva · Nicholas Kirton 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shreyas Movva · b Nicholas Kirton | 72 | 94 | 3 | 0 | 76.60 |
Netherlands's chances ranged from 20% to 100% during the match (Canada: 0% to 80%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| Noah Croescaught · Aaron Johnson · Junaid Siddiqui 3 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Aaron Johnson · b Junaid Siddiqui |
| 31 |
| 44 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 70.45 |
| Shariz Ahmadcaught · Shreyas Movva · Harsh Thaker 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shreyas Movva · b Harsh Thaker | 19 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 70.37 |
|---|
| Kyle Kleincaught · Shreyas Movva · Dillon Heyliger 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shreyas Movva · b Dillon Heyliger | 10 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Aryan Duttnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 11 | 0 | 0 | 54.55 |
|---|
| Paul van Meekerenbowled · Kaleem Sana 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kaleem Sana | 7 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Vivian Kingmabowled · Kaleem Sana 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kaleem Sana | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 15 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaleem Sana1 maidens · 7 wides · 1 no-balls | 7.2 | 1 | 30 | 4 | 4.09 | 7 | 1 |
| Dillon Heyliger2 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 2 | 33 | 2 | 4.71 | 5 | 0 |
| Harsh Thaker0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 44 | 2 | 4.40 | 0 | 0 |
 Saad Bin Zafar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 51 | 0 | 5.10 | 1 | 0 |
| Junaid Siddiqui0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 44 | 1 | 4.40 | 2 | 0 |
| Nicholas Kirton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Michael Levitt, 1.0) · 2-51 (Max O'Dowd, 8.4) · 3-51 (Vikramjit Singh, 9.3) · 4-80 (Musa Ahmed, 17.2) · 5-139 (Noah Croes, 31.1) · 6-176 (Shariz Ahmad, 38.3) · 7-199 (Scott Edwards, 42.5) · 8-202 (Kyle Klein, 43.1) · 9-220 (Paul van Meekeren, 47.1) · 10-220 (Vivian Kingma, 47.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 7/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 16/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 28/1 |
| 6 | 11 | 39/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 44/1 |
| 8 | 2 | 46/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 51/2 |
| 10 | 1 | 52/3 |
| 11 | 3 | 55/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 60/3 |
| 13 | 6 | 66/3 |
| 14 | 1 | 67/3 |
| 15 | 6 | 73/3 |
| 16 | 2 | 75/3 |
| 17 | 4 | 79/3 |
| 18 | 3 | 82/4 |
| 19 | 3 | 85/4 |
| 20 | 2 | 87/4 |
| 21 | 6 | 93/4 |
| 22 | 3 | 96/4 |
| 23 | 3 | 99/4 |
| 24 | 3 | 102/4 |
| 25 | 6 | 108/4 |
| 26 | 5 | 113/4 |
| 27 | 3 | 116/4 |
| 28 | 2 | 118/4 |
| 29 | 3 | 121/4 |
| 30 | 10 | 131/4 |
| 31 | 8 | 139/4 |
| 32 | 2 | 141/5 |
| 33 | 8 | 149/5 |
| 34 | 7 | 156/5 |
| 35 | 4 | 160/5 |
| 36 | 6 | 166/5 |
| 37 | 2 | 168/5 |
| 38 | 5 | 173/5 |
| 39 | 5 | 178/6 |
| 40 | 4 | 182/6 |
| 41 | 6 | 188/6 |
| 42 | 7 | 195/6 |
| 43 | 4 | 199/7 |
| 44 | 7 | 206/8 |
| 45 | 4 | 210/8 |
| 46 | 6 | 216/8 |
| 47 | 4 | 220/8 |
| 48 | 0 | 220/10 |
Saad Bin Zafar: Apnagm · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
