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Photo: Mnnngchris at English Wikipedia
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
1 Jul 2026 · T20
The County Ground, Derby · Venue photographRecorded result
Lancashire started on 54%; Lancashire batted first.
Lancashire's chances ranged from 31% to 88% during the match (Derbyshire: 12% to 69%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aneurin Donaldcaught · Matthew Hurst · Shadab Khan9 fours · 6 sixes | caught · Matthew Hurst · b Shadab Khan | 88 | 37 | 9 | 6 | 237.84 |
| Martin Anderssoncaught · Jack Blatherwick · James Anderson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Blatherwick · b James Anderson | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| MYB Naeemcaught · Ben McDermott · James Anderson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben McDermott · b James Anderson | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
 Wayne Madsenbowled · Tom Aspinwall2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tom Aspinwall | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 133.33 |
| caught · J Moores · b Jack Blatherwick |
| 2 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
 Ross Whiteleybowled · Tom Aspinwall4 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Tom Aspinwall | 46 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 158.62 |
|---|
| AS Basracaught · Jack Blatherwick · Shadab Khan 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jack Blatherwick · b Shadab Khan | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 175.00 |
|---|
| Nick Pottscaught · James Anderson · Jack Blatherwick 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · James Anderson · b Jack Blatherwick | 32 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 133.33 |
|---|
 Ben Aitchisoncaught · Michael Jones · Shadab Khan0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Michael Jones · b Shadab Khan | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Sufyan Moqeemnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Akif Javedrun out · Liam Livingstone, Matthew Hurst · Jack Blatherwick 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Liam Livingstone, Matthew Hurst | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 James Anderson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Tom Hartley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 23.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Tom Aspinwall0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 2 | 10.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Jack Blatherwick0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 11.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Liam Livingstone0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 9.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Shadab Khan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 3 | 10.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-33 (Martin Andersson, 2.2) · 2-50 (MYB Naeem, 4.1) · 3-63 (Wayne Madsen, 5.3) · 4-72 (Matthew Montgomery, 6.4) · 5-127 (Aneurin Donald, 11.1) · 6-135 (AS Basra, 12.0) · 7-163 (Ross Whiteley, 15.1) · 8-177 (Ben Aitchison, 17.0) · 9-199 (Nick Potts, 19.4) · 10-201 (Akif Javed, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 23 | 32/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 35/1 |
| 4 | 15 | 50/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 58/2 |
| 6 | 10 | 68/3 |
| 7 | 6 | 74/4 |
| 8 | 10 | 84/4 |
| 9 | 20 | 104/4 |
| 10 | 14 | 118/4 |
| 11 | 9 | 127/4 |
| 12 | 8 | 135/6 |
| 13 | 3 | 138/6 |
| 14 | 9 | 147/6 |
| 15 | 16 | 163/6 |
| 16 | 3 | 166/7 |
| 17 | 11 | 177/8 |
| 18 | 13 | 190/8 |
| 19 | 3 | 193/8 |
| 20 | 8 | 201/10 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Anderson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Aitchison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shadab Khan: Pakistan Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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