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Hong Kong Women tour of Netherlands · 2024 · Women
17 Jun 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 56%; Netherlands batted first.
Netherlands's chances ranged from 56% to 100% during the match (Hong Kong: 0% to 44%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iris Zwillingstumped · Hiu Ying Cheung · Kary Chan 5 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Hiu Ying Cheung · b Kary Chan | 42 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 123.53 |
| Sterre Kaliscaught · M Bibi · Chan Ka Man 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · M Bibi · b Chan Ka Man | 12 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Babette de Leederun out · Mariko Hill · M Wai Siu 6 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Mariko Hill | 72 | 54 | 6 | 2 | 133.33 |
| Robine Rijkenot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 27* | 20 | 2 | 0 | 135.00 |
| P Molkenboernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 12 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iqra Sahar0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 11.75 | 5 | 0 |
| M Wai Siu0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 8.33 | 1 | 0 |
| M Bibi0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 8.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Chan Ka Man0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Kary Chan0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 7.33 | 1 | 1 |
| Mariko Hill0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8.67 | 0 | 1 |
1-36 (Sterre Kalis, 4.4) · 2-90 (Iris Zwilling, 12.5) · 3-164 (Babette de Leede, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 20/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 32/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 37/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 41/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 48/1 |
| 8 | 12 | 60/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 66/1 |
| 10 | 9 | 75/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 79/1 |
| 12 | 6 | 85/1 |
| 13 | 6 | 91/2 |
| 14 | 11 | 102/2 |
| 15 | 16 | 118/2 |
| 16 | 8 | 126/2 |
| 17 | 8 | 134/2 |
| 18 | 9 | 143/2 |
| 19 | 21 | 164/2 |
| 20 | 6 | 170/3 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.