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Hong Kong Women tour of Netherlands · 2024 · Women
17 Jun 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 56%; Netherlands batted first.
Netherlands's chances ranged from 56% to 100% during the match (Hong Kong: 0% to 44%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Milesrun out · Caroline de Lange · Iris Zwilling 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Caroline de Lange | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Mariko Hillbowled · Hannah Landheer 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hannah Landheer | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Shanzeen Shahzadlbw · Caroline de Lange 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Caroline de Lange | 8 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 57.14 |
| Kary Chanbowled · Hannah Landheer 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hannah Landheer | 7 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| MBA Lamploughbowled · Frederique Overdijk 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Frederique Overdijk | 9 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 64.29 |
| run out · Iris Zwilling |
| 29 |
| 27 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 107.41 |
| M Bibirun out · Babette de Leede · Silver Siegers 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Babette de Leede | 6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Hiu Ying Cheungcaught and bowled · Silver Siegers 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Silver Siegers | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Chan Ka Manbowled · Frederique Overdijk 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Frederique Overdijk | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
| Iqra Saharnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| M Wai Siunot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11.11 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 10 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iris Zwilling0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 5.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Hannah Landheer0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 6 | 0 |
| Caroline de Lange0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 5.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Frederique Overdijk1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Silver Siegers0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 2.50 | 1 | 0 |
| MM Dekeling0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-2 (Natasha Miles, 0.5) · 2-15 (Shanzeen Shahzad, 4.0) · 3-22 (Mariko Hill, 5.2) · 4-35 (Kary Chan, 8.3) · 5-50 (MBA Lamplough, 10.3) · 6-67 (M Bibi, 13.5) · 7-72 (Hiu Ying Cheung, 15.2) · 8-83 (Y Daswani, 17.2) · 9-84 (Chan Ka Man, 18.2)
Recorded target: 171 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 12/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 15/2 |
| 5 | 6 | 21/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 26/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 31/3 |
| 8 | 2 | 33/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 36/4 |
| 10 | 12 | 48/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 52/5 |
| 12 | 3 | 55/5 |
| 13 | 11 | 66/5 |
| 14 | 1 | 67/6 |
| 15 | 3 | 70/6 |
| 16 | 4 | 74/7 |
| 17 | 8 | 82/7 |
| 18 | 2 | 84/8 |
| 19 | 0 | 84/9 |
| 20 | 2 | 86/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.