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Photo: Barry Dogger
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
30 May 2025 · T20
County Ground, Bristol · Venue photographRecorded result
Kent started on 35%; Kent batted first.
Kent's chances ranged from 33% to 98% during the match (Gloucestershire: 2% to 67%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Miles Hammondcaught · Zak Crawley · Nathan Gilchrist2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Zak Crawley · b Nathan Gilchrist | 38 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 152.00 |
| Cameron Bancroftcaught · Grant Stewart · Fred Klaassen 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Grant Stewart · b Fred Klaassen | 13 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 76.47 |
 James Braceycaught · Sam Billings · Tom Rogers0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Billings · b Tom Rogers | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
 Ollie Pricecaught · Daniel Bell-Drummond · Nathan Gilchrist2 fours · 5 sixes | caught |
| 51 |
| 26 |
| 2 |
| 5 |
| 196.15 |
| Jack Taylorcaught · Tawanda Muyeye · Joe Denly 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Tawanda Muyeye · b Joe Denly | 23 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 287.50 |
|---|
 Ben Charlesworthrun out · Tawanda Muyeye, Sam Billings · Fred Klaassen5 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Tawanda Muyeye, Sam Billings | 38 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 172.73 |
|---|
 D'Arcy Shortcaught · Fred Klaassen · Tom Rogers1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Fred Klaassen · b Tom Rogers | 19 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 172.73 |
|---|
 Matt Taylornot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 180.00 |
|---|
| David Paynenot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 2 | 2 | 0 | 400.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Klaassen0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Tom Rogers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Gilchrist0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 46 | 2 | 11.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Matt Parkinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 18.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Grant Stewart0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 0 | 10.50 | 2 | 0 |
 Joe Denly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-34 (Cameron Bancroft, 4.4) · 2-37 (James Bracey, 6.0) · 3-61 (Miles Hammond, 9.0) · 4-117 (Jack Taylor, 12.5) · 5-127 (Ollie Price, 13.3) · 6-160 (D'Arcy Short, 16.4) · 7-196 (Ben Charlesworth, 19.4)
Recorded target: 209 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 14/0 |
| 4 | 16 | 30/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 36/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 37/2 |
| 7 | 11 | 48/2 |
| 8 | 2 | 50/2 |
| 9 | 11 | 61/3 |
| 10 | 3 | 64/3 |
| 11 | 26 | 90/3 |
| 12 | 22 | 112/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 117/4 |
| 14 | 10 | 127/5 |
| 15 | 15 | 142/5 |
| 16 | 15 | 157/5 |
| 17 | 4 | 161/6 |
| 18 | 9 | 170/6 |
| 19 | 15 | 185/6 |
| 20 | 19 | 204/7 |
Ben Charlesworth: Dave Morton · Public domain
D'Arcy Short: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
James Bracey: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Parkinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Grant Stewart: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Miles Hammond: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Taylor: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Price: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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