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Photo: Rae Allen
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
1 Jan 2025 · T20
Brisbane Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Brisbane Heat started on 66%; Brisbane Heat batted first.
Brisbane Heat's chances ranged from 0% to 83% during the match (Melbourne Stars: 17% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Bantoncaught · Glenn Maxwell · Mark Steketee 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Glenn Maxwell · b Mark Steketee | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 118.18 |
 Colin Munrocaught · Daniel Lawrence · Mark Steketee0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Daniel Lawrence · b Mark Steketee | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
| Nathan McSweeneybowled · Peter Siddle 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Peter Siddle | 9 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
 Matt Renshawcaught · Glenn Maxwell · Joel Paris0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Glenn Maxwell · b Joel Paris | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 150.00 |
| not out |
| 77* |
| 48 |
| 4 |
| 6 |
| 160.42 |
| Paul Waltercaught · Glenn Maxwell · Usama Mir 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Glenn Maxwell · b Usama Mir | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 116.67 |
|---|
 Will Prestwidgecaught · Glenn Maxwell · Daniel Lawrence0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Glenn Maxwell · b Daniel Lawrence | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Xavier Bartlettrun out · Sam Harper · Peter Siddle 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Sam Harper | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 6 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Paris0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 1 |
 Mark Steketee0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 2 | 10.50 | 6 | 0 |
 Marcus Stoinis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Peter Siddle0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Usama Mir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 5.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Daniel Lawrence0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-10 (Colin Munro, 2.0) · 2-21 (Tom Banton, 3.2) · 3-33 (Matt Renshaw, 5.0) · 4-39 (Nathan McSweeney, 7.1) · 5-68 (Paul Walter, 12.1) · 6-106 (Will Prestwidge, 16.1) · 7-149 (Xavier Bartlett, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 10/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 15/1 |
| 4 | 10 | 25/2 |
| 5 | 8 | 33/3 |
| 6 | 2 | 35/3 |
| 7 | 4 | 39/3 |
| 8 | 2 | 41/4 |
| 9 | 4 | 45/4 |
| 10 | 2 | 47/4 |
| 11 | 5 | 52/4 |
| 12 | 16 | 68/4 |
| 13 | 2 | 70/5 |
| 14 | 14 | 84/5 |
| 15 | 6 | 90/5 |
| 16 | 16 | 106/5 |
| 17 | 6 | 112/6 |
| 18 | 13 | 125/6 |
| 19 | 10 | 135/6 |
| 20 | 14 | 149/7 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mark Steketee: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Colin Munro: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Will Prestwidge: QWisps · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marcus Stoinis: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Peter Siddle: PrivateMusings · CC BY-SA 2.5
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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