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Photo: Will Noakes
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
9 Jul 2025 · T20
Edgbaston · Venue photographRecorded result
Birmingham Bears started on 49%; Birmingham Bears batted first.
Birmingham Bears's chances ranged from 36% to 100% during the match (Lancashire: 0% to 64%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Philip Saltcaught · Rob Yates · George Garton3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Rob Yates · b George Garton | 21 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 233.33 |
| Keaton Jenningscaught · Dan Mousley · George Garton 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dan Mousley · b George Garton | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Jos Buttlerlbw · George Garton0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b George Garton | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Ashton Turnercaught · Sam Hain · Danny Briggs1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sam Hain · b Danny Briggs | 20 |
| 18 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 111.11 |
| Luke Wellscaught · Tom Latham · Craig Miles 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Latham · b Craig Miles | 18 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 138.46 |
|---|
 Michael Jonescaught · Alex Davies · Richard Gleeson2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Davies · b Richard Gleeson | 19 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 95.00 |
|---|
 Chris Greencaught · Dan Mousley · George Garton2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Dan Mousley · b George Garton | 26 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 185.71 |
|---|
| Jack Blatherwickcaught · Rob Yates · Hasan Ali 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Rob Yates · b Hasan Ali | 14 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 175.00 |
|---|
 Tom Hartleycaught · Dan Mousley · Richard Gleeson0 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Dan Mousley · b Richard Gleeson | 35 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 218.75 |
|---|
 Luke Woodlbw · Hasan Ali1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Hasan Ali | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.00 |
|---|
 James Andersonnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Garton0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 4 | 9.33 | 1 | 0 |
 Richard Gleeson0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 2 | 0 |
 Hasan Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Craig Miles0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Danny Briggs0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Dan Mousley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-2 (Keaton Jennings, 0.3) · 2-2 (Jos Buttler, 1.0) · 3-32 (Philip Salt, 3.0) · 4-62 (Luke Wells, 6.5) · 5-64 (Ashton Turner, 7.4) · 6-105 (Chris Green, 12.3) · 7-111 (Michael Jones, 13.2) · 8-157 (Jack Blatherwick, 16.3) · 9-165 (Tom Hartley, 17.3) · 10-167 (Luke Wood, 18.1)
Recorded target: 204 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/2 |
| 2 | 10 | 12/2 |
| 3 | 20 | 32/3 |
| 4 | 6 | 38/3 |
| 5 | 12 | 50/3 |
| 6 | 5 | 55/3 |
| 7 | 7 | 62/4 |
| 8 | 4 | 66/5 |
| 9 | 11 | 77/5 |
| 10 | 8 | 85/5 |
| 11 | 12 | 97/5 |
| 12 | 3 | 100/5 |
| 13 | 7 | 107/6 |
| 14 | 9 | 116/7 |
| 15 | 19 | 135/7 |
| 16 | 21 | 156/7 |
| 17 | 8 | 164/8 |
| 18 | 3 | 167/9 |
| 19 | 0 | 167/10 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
James Anderson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Richard Gleeson: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jos Buttler: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Philip Salt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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