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Photo: Original uploader was ShattaAD at en.wikipedia
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Sri Lanka tour of West Indies · 2026 · Men
25 Jun 2026 · Test
Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, Antigua · Venue photographRecorded result
Sri Lanka more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pathum Nissankacaught · Joshua Da Silva · Jayden Seales 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joshua Da Silva · b Jayden Seales | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Nishan Madushkalbw · Kemar Roach 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kemar Roach | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
 Kasun Rajithacaught · Kavem Hodge · Jayden Seales1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kavem Hodge · b Jayden Seales | 4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 30.77 |
 Dinesh Chandimalcaught · John Campbell · Kemar Roach5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · John Campbell · b Kemar Roach | 43 | 60 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 71.67 |
| Kamindu Mendisbowled · Shamar Joseph 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shamar Joseph | 9 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 26.47 |
|---|
| Dhananjaya de Silvalbw · Shamar Joseph 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Shamar Joseph | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Kusal Mendisbowled · Alzarri Joseph 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Alzarri Joseph | 8 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Sonal Dinushanot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 29 | 3 | 0 | 41.38 |
|---|
| Milan Priyanathlbw · Kemar Roach 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kemar Roach | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Asitha Fernandobowled · Kemar Roach 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kemar Roach | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Lahiru Kumarabowled · Jayden Seales 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jayden Seales | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 128.57 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 0 · noballs: 5 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kemar Roach0 maidens · 0 wides · 4 no-balls | 11.0 | 0 | 51 | 4 | 4.64 | 0 | 4 |
| Jayden Seales3 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 10.2 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 1.35 | 0 | 1 |
| Shamar Joseph0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 3.80 | 0 | 0 |
| Alzarri Joseph1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 2.20 | 0 | 0 |
1-8 (Pathum Nissanka, 1.1) · 2-15 (Nishan Madushka, 4.4) · 3-19 (Kasun Rajitha, 5.1) · 4-46 (Kamindu Mendis, 15.0) · 5-48 (Dhananjaya de Silva, 16.4) · 6-71 (Kusal Mendis, 21.5) · 7-84 (Dinesh Chandimal, 26.3) · 8-84 (Milan Priyanath, 27.0) · 9-84 (Asitha Fernando, 28.2) · 10-101 (Lahiru Kumara, 31.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 14/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 15/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 19/2 |
| 6 | 2 | 21/3 |
| 7 | 9 | 30/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 34/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 40/3 |
| 10 | 2 | 42/3 |
| 11 | 1 | 43/3 |
| 12 | 1 | 44/3 |
| 13 | 1 | 45/3 |
| 14 | 0 | 45/3 |
| 15 | 1 | 46/4 |
| 16 | 1 | 47/4 |
| 17 | 5 | 52/5 |
| 18 | 1 | 53/5 |
| 19 | 1 | 54/5 |
| 20 | 5 | 59/5 |
| 21 | 11 | 70/5 |
| 22 | 1 | 71/6 |
| 23 | 4 | 75/6 |
| 24 | 4 | 79/6 |
| 25 | 2 | 81/6 |
| 26 | 1 | 82/6 |
| 27 | 2 | 84/8 |
| 28 | 0 | 84/8 |
| 29 | 8 | 92/9 |
| 30 | 0 | 92/9 |
| 31 | 9 | 101/9 |
| 32 | 0 | 101/10 |
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kemar Roach: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Dinesh Chandimal: Amal316 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kasun Rajitha: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joshua Da Silva: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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