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Ireland tour of Zimbabwe · 2024/25 · Men
6 Feb 2025 · Test
Recorded result
Ireland more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Moorcaught · Nyasha Mayavo · Richard Ngarava 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nyasha Mayavo · b Richard Ngarava | 30 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 90.91 |
 Andrew Balbirnielbw · Wesley Madhevere2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Wesley Madhevere | 66 | 160 | 2 | 0 | 41.25 |
| Curtis Camphercaught · Nyasha Mayavo · Trevor Gwandu 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nyasha Mayavo · b Trevor Gwandu | 39 | 99 | 6 | 0 | 39.39 |
 Harry Tectorlbw · Johnathan Campbell1 fours · 0 sixes |
| 17 |
| 43 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 39.53 |
 Paul Stirlingcaught · Nyasha Mayavo · Blessing Muzarabani1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Nyasha Mayavo · b Blessing Muzarabani | 21 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 72.41 |
|---|
| Lorcan Tuckercaught · Johnathan Campbell · Richard Ngarava 6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Johnathan Campbell · b Richard Ngarava | 58 | 95 | 6 | 1 | 61.05 |
|---|
 Andrew McBrinecaught · Nick Welch · Wesley Madhevere0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nick Welch · b Wesley Madhevere | 16 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 45.71 |
|---|
| Mark Adaircaught · Tafadzwanashe Kaitano · Richard Ngarava 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tafadzwanashe Kaitano · b Richard Ngarava | 15 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 57.69 |
|---|
| Barry McCarthybowled · Richard Ngarava 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Richard Ngarava | 11 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 35.48 |
|---|
| Craig Youngbowled · Trevor Gwandu 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Trevor Gwandu | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Matthew Humphreysnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 13 · wides: 1 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blessing Muzarabani0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 20.0 | 0 | 70 | 1 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Richard Ngarava4 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 17.3 | 4 | 55 | 4 | 3.14 | 0 | 2 |
| Trevor Gwandu0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 11.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 2.55 | 0 | 1 |
| Newman Nyamhuri0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 2.63 | 0 | 0 |
| Brian Bennett0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 2.20 | 0 | 0 |
| Wesley Madhevere1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 18.0 | 1 | 48 | 2 | 2.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Johnathan Campbell1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 1 | 47 | 1 | 3.36 | 1 | 0 |
1-46 (Peter Moor, 8.0) · 2-121 (Curtis Campher, 36.2) · 3-153 (Harry Tector, 52.2) · 4-171 (Andrew Balbirnie, 57.3) · 5-199 (Paul Stirling, 62.5) · 6-238 (Andrew McBrine, 74.3) · 7-261 (Mark Adair, 83.1) · 8-281 (Barry McCarthy, 89.2) · 9-284 (Craig Young, 90.2) · 10-298 (Lorcan Tucker, 93.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 24/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 32/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 38/0 |
| 6 | 1 | 39/0 |
| 7 | 3 | 42/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 46/1 |
| 9 | 2 | 48/1 |
| 10 | 0 | 48/1 |
| 11 | 1 | 49/1 |
| 12 | 5 | 54/1 |
| 13 | 1 | 55/1 |
| 14 | 9 | 64/1 |
| 15 | 5 | 69/1 |
| 16 | 3 | 72/1 |
| 17 | 1 | 73/1 |
| 18 | 2 | 75/1 |
| 19 | 1 | 76/1 |
| 20 | 3 | 79/1 |
| 21 | 4 | 83/1 |
| 22 | 0 | 83/1 |
| 23 | 2 | 85/1 |
| 24 | 0 | 85/1 |
| 25 | 3 | 88/1 |
| 26 | 1 | 89/1 |
| 27 | 2 | 91/1 |
| 28 | 5 | 96/1 |
| 29 | 1 | 97/1 |
| 30 | 3 | 100/1 |
| 31 | 4 | 104/1 |
| 32 | 2 | 106/1 |
| 33 | 8 | 114/1 |
| 34 | 3 | 117/1 |
| 35 | 1 | 118/1 |
| 36 | 2 | 120/1 |
| 37 | 1 | 121/2 |
| 38 | 1 | 122/2 |
| 39 | 4 | 126/2 |
| 40 | 3 | 129/2 |
| 41 | 3 | 132/2 |
| 42 | 3 | 135/2 |
| 43 | 3 | 138/2 |
| 44 | 1 | 139/2 |
| 45 | 2 | 141/2 |
| 46 | 0 | 141/2 |
| 47 | 1 | 142/2 |
| 48 | 4 | 146/2 |
| 49 | 0 | 146/2 |
| 50 | 1 | 147/2 |
| 51 | 2 | 149/2 |
| 52 | 3 | 152/2 |
| 53 | 3 | 155/3 |
| 54 | 7 | 162/3 |
| 55 | 3 | 165/3 |
| 56 | 3 | 168/3 |
| 57 | 3 | 171/3 |
| 58 | 1 | 172/4 |
| 59 | 8 | 180/4 |
| 60 | 6 | 186/4 |
| 61 | 3 | 189/4 |
| 62 | 6 | 195/4 |
| 63 | 5 | 200/5 |
| 64 | 2 | 202/5 |
| 65 | 4 | 206/5 |
| 66 | 3 | 209/5 |
| 67 | 1 | 210/5 |
| 68 | 2 | 212/5 |
| 69 | 5 | 217/5 |
| 70 | 6 | 223/5 |
| 71 | 5 | 228/5 |
| 72 | 5 | 233/5 |
| 73 | 2 | 235/5 |
| 74 | 3 | 238/5 |
| 75 | 1 | 239/6 |
| 76 | 3 | 242/6 |
| 77 | 6 | 248/6 |
| 78 | 1 | 249/6 |
| 79 | 4 | 253/6 |
| 80 | 1 | 254/6 |
| 81 | 3 | 257/6 |
| 82 | 1 | 258/6 |
| 83 | 3 | 261/6 |
| 84 | 2 | 263/7 |
| 85 | 4 | 267/7 |
| 86 | 0 | 267/7 |
| 87 | 6 | 273/7 |
| 88 | 5 | 278/7 |
| 89 | 3 | 281/7 |
| 90 | 2 | 283/8 |
| 91 | 3 | 286/9 |
| 92 | 11 | 297/9 |
| 93 | 1 | 298/9 |
| 94 | 0 | 298/10 |
Johnathan Campbell: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harry Tector: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Paul Stirling: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Andrew Balbirnie: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Andrew McBrine: AssociateAffiliate · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
