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Ireland tour of Zimbabwe · 2024/25 · Men
6 Feb 2025 · Test
Recorded result
Ireland more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tafadzwanashe Kaitanolbw · Barry McCarthy 3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Barry McCarthy | 26 | 66 | 3 | 0 | 39.39 |
| Ben Currancaught · Lorcan Tucker · Barry McCarthy 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lorcan Tucker · b Barry McCarthy | 12 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 85.71 |
| Nick Welchcaught · Harry Tector · Mark Adair 9 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Harry Tector · b Mark Adair | 90 | 173 | 9 | 1 | 52.02 |
| Brian Bennettbowled · Barry McCarthy 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Barry McCarthy | 7 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 38.89 |
| Wesley Madheverecaught · Lorcan Tucker · Andrew McBrine2 fours · 1 sixes |
| caught · Lorcan Tucker · b Andrew McBrine |
| 26 |
| 31 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 83.87 |
 Johnathan Campbellcaught · Harry Tector · Andrew McBrine1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Tector · b Andrew McBrine | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Nyasha Mayavolbw · Andrew McBrine 2 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Andrew McBrine | 18 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 78.26 |
|---|
| Newman Nyamhuricaught · Andrew Balbirnie · Barry McCarthy 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Andrew Balbirnie · b Barry McCarthy | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Richard Ngaravacaught · Peter Moor · Mark Adair 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Peter Moor · b Mark Adair | 15 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 36.59 |
|---|
| Blessing Muzarabanibowled · Matthew Humphreys 6 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Matthew Humphreys | 47 | 68 | 6 | 0 | 69.12 |
|---|
| Trevor Gwandunot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 18* | 79 | 1 | 0 | 22.78 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Adair4 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 18.0 | 4 | 56 | 2 | 3.11 | 1 | 0 |
| Barry McCarthy2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 22.0 | 2 | 75 | 4 | 3.41 | 0 | 0 |
| Craig Young1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 36 | 0 | 3.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Humphreys1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.1 | 1 | 38 | 1 | 2.51 | 0 | 0 |
 Andrew McBrine5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 21.0 | 5 | 59 | 3 | 2.81 | 0 | 0 |
1-26 (Ben Curran, 5.5) · 2-77 (Tafadzwanashe Kaitano, 23.2) · 3-97 (Brian Bennett, 30.0) · 4-143 (Wesley Madhevere, 41.1) · 5-147 (Johnathan Campbell, 41.4) · 6-171 (Nyasha Mayavo, 50.0) · 7-172 (Newman Nyamhuri, 50.4) · 8-192 (Richard Ngarava, 60.3) · 9-200 (Nick Welch, 62.2) · 10-267 (Blessing Muzarabani, 86.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 15/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 19/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 20/0 |
| 6 | 6 | 26/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 31/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 36/1 |
| 9 | 0 | 36/1 |
| 10 | 0 | 36/1 |
| 11 | 0 | 36/1 |
| 12 | 5 | 41/1 |
| 13 | 8 | 49/1 |
| 14 | 6 | 55/1 |
| 15 | 1 | 56/1 |
| 16 | 1 | 57/1 |
| 17 | 1 | 58/1 |
| 18 | 3 | 61/1 |
| 19 | 4 | 65/1 |
| 20 | 1 | 66/1 |
| 21 | 6 | 72/1 |
| 22 | 1 | 73/1 |
| 23 | 4 | 77/1 |
| 24 | 4 | 81/2 |
| 25 | 1 | 82/2 |
| 26 | 5 | 87/2 |
| 27 | 5 | 92/2 |
| 28 | 1 | 93/2 |
| 29 | 3 | 96/2 |
| 30 | 1 | 97/3 |
| 31 | 1 | 98/3 |
| 32 | 5 | 103/3 |
| 33 | 3 | 106/3 |
| 34 | 7 | 113/3 |
| 35 | 4 | 117/3 |
| 36 | 3 | 120/3 |
| 37 | 3 | 123/3 |
| 38 | 7 | 130/3 |
| 39 | 4 | 134/3 |
| 40 | 4 | 138/3 |
| 41 | 5 | 143/3 |
| 42 | 4 | 147/5 |
| 43 | 0 | 147/5 |
| 44 | 10 | 157/5 |
| 45 | 5 | 162/5 |
| 46 | 0 | 162/5 |
| 47 | 4 | 166/5 |
| 48 | 5 | 171/5 |
| 49 | 0 | 171/5 |
| 50 | 0 | 171/6 |
| 51 | 1 | 172/7 |
| 52 | 0 | 172/7 |
| 53 | 1 | 173/7 |
| 54 | 0 | 173/7 |
| 55 | 4 | 177/7 |
| 56 | 5 | 182/7 |
| 57 | 3 | 185/7 |
| 58 | 1 | 186/7 |
| 59 | 2 | 188/7 |
| 60 | 3 | 191/7 |
| 61 | 1 | 192/8 |
| 62 | 7 | 199/8 |
| 63 | 2 | 201/9 |
| 64 | 2 | 203/9 |
| 65 | 11 | 214/9 |
| 66 | 1 | 215/9 |
| 67 | 3 | 218/9 |
| 68 | 2 | 220/9 |
| 69 | 2 | 222/9 |
| 70 | 4 | 226/9 |
| 71 | 1 | 227/9 |
| 72 | 1 | 228/9 |
| 73 | 2 | 230/9 |
| 74 | 1 | 231/9 |
| 75 | 0 | 231/9 |
| 76 | 0 | 231/9 |
| 77 | 1 | 232/9 |
| 78 | 1 | 233/9 |
| 79 | 1 | 234/9 |
| 80 | 7 | 241/9 |
| 81 | 2 | 243/9 |
| 82 | 0 | 243/9 |
| 83 | 11 | 254/9 |
| 84 | 3 | 257/9 |
| 85 | 1 | 258/9 |
| 86 | 9 | 267/9 |
| 87 | 0 | 267/10 |
Johnathan Campbell: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harry Tector: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Paul Stirling: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Andrew Balbirnie: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Andrew McBrine: AssociateAffiliate · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
