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Ireland tour of Zimbabwe · 2024/25 · Men
6 Feb 2025 · Test
Recorded result
Ireland more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Moorcaught · Ben Curran · Blessing Muzarabani 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Curran · b Blessing Muzarabani | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
 Andrew Balbirniecaught · J Gumbie · Blessing Muzarabani1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · J Gumbie · b Blessing Muzarabani | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 81.82 |
| Curtis Campherbowled · Richard Ngarava 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Richard Ngarava | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
 Harry Tectorcaught · Tafadzwanashe Kaitano · Blessing Muzarabani0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Tafadzwanashe Kaitano · b Blessing Muzarabani |
| 0 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
 Paul Stirlingcaught · Brian Bennett · Blessing Muzarabani1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brian Bennett · b Blessing Muzarabani | 10 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 55.56 |
|---|
| Lorcan Tuckerbowled · Trevor Gwandu 7 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Trevor Gwandu | 33 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 117.86 |
|---|
 Andrew McBrinenot out12 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 90* | 132 | 12 | 0 | 68.18 |
|---|
| Mark Adaircaught · Nyasha Mayavo · Blessing Muzarabani 13 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nyasha Mayavo · b Blessing Muzarabani | 78 | 91 | 13 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
| Barry McCarthycaught · Wesley Madhevere · Blessing Muzarabani 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wesley Madhevere · b Blessing Muzarabani | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Craig Youngcaught · Brian Bennett · Blessing Muzarabani 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brian Bennett · b Blessing Muzarabani | 5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 38.46 |
|---|
| Matthew Humphreyscaught · Brian Bennett · Richard Ngarava 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brian Bennett · b Richard Ngarava | 8 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 6 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 1 · noballs: 7 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blessing Muzarabani1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 18.0 | 1 | 58 | 7 | 3.22 | 0 | 0 |
| Richard Ngarava1 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 13.4 | 1 | 65 | 2 | 4.76 | 0 | 2 |
| Newman Nyamhuri0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 42 | 0 | 6.00 | 1 | 2 |
| Trevor Gwandu1 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 6.0 | 1 | 53 | 1 | 8.83 | 0 | 3 |
| Brian Bennett1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.0 | 1 | 33 | 0 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-4 (Peter Moor, 1.0) · 2-17 (Curtis Campher, 3.5) · 3-19 (Andrew Balbirnie, 4.3) · 4-20 (Harry Tector, 6.5) · 5-31 (Paul Stirling, 8.5) · 6-82 (Lorcan Tucker, 15.4) · 7-209 (Mark Adair, 45.0) · 8-211 (Barry McCarthy, 46.4) · 9-233 (Craig Young, 50.4) · 10-260 (Matthew Humphreys, 56.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 10/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 17/2 |
| 5 | 2 | 19/3 |
| 6 | 0 | 19/3 |
| 7 | 1 | 20/4 |
| 8 | 5 | 25/4 |
| 9 | 6 | 31/5 |
| 10 | 5 | 36/5 |
| 11 | 8 | 44/5 |
| 12 | 3 | 47/5 |
| 13 | 4 | 51/5 |
| 14 | 11 | 62/5 |
| 15 | 9 | 71/5 |
| 16 | 11 | 82/6 |
| 17 | 6 | 88/6 |
| 18 | 6 | 94/6 |
| 19 | 1 | 95/6 |
| 20 | 15 | 110/6 |
| 21 | 1 | 111/6 |
| 22 | 0 | 111/6 |
| 23 | 1 | 112/6 |
| 24 | 10 | 122/6 |
| 25 | 4 | 126/6 |
| 26 | 8 | 134/6 |
| 27 | 2 | 136/6 |
| 28 | 0 | 136/6 |
| 29 | 1 | 137/6 |
| 30 | 10 | 147/6 |
| 31 | 7 | 154/6 |
| 32 | 11 | 165/6 |
| 33 | 9 | 174/6 |
| 34 | 2 | 176/6 |
| 35 | 1 | 177/6 |
| 36 | 1 | 178/6 |
| 37 | 10 | 188/6 |
| 38 | 1 | 189/6 |
| 39 | 4 | 193/6 |
| 40 | 3 | 196/6 |
| 41 | 5 | 201/6 |
| 42 | 2 | 203/6 |
| 43 | 1 | 204/6 |
| 44 | 2 | 206/6 |
| 45 | 3 | 209/7 |
| 46 | 1 | 210/7 |
| 47 | 1 | 211/8 |
| 48 | 12 | 223/8 |
| 49 | 3 | 226/8 |
| 50 | 5 | 231/8 |
| 51 | 2 | 233/9 |
| 52 | 3 | 236/9 |
| 53 | 10 | 246/9 |
| 54 | 2 | 248/9 |
| 55 | 2 | 250/9 |
| 56 | 5 | 255/9 |
| 57 | 5 | 260/10 |
Johnathan Campbell: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harry Tector: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Paul Stirling: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Andrew Balbirnie: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Andrew McBrine: AssociateAffiliate · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
