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Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
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Australia tour of New Zealand · 2023/24 · Men
25 Feb 2024 · T20
Eden Park, Auckland · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ish Sodhi · b Mitchell Santner | 33 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 110.00 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tim Seifert · b Adam Milne | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Matthew Shortcaught · Tim Seifert · Ben Sears 1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Tim Seifert · b Ben Sears | 27 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 245.45 |
3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Will Young · b Josh Clarkson |
| 9 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 222.22 |
0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 14* | 8 | 0 | 1 | 175.00 |
|---|
| Tim Davidnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 8* | 3 | 0 | 1 | 266.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| Adam Milne0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Sears0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 11.00 | 5 | 0 |
| 1.4 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 13.20 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mitchell Santner0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Josh Clarkson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-16 (Steve Smith, 1.3) · 2-67 (Matthew Short, 6.0) · 3-95 (Glenn Maxwell, 8.3) · 4-99 (Travis Head, 9.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 17/1 |
| 3 | 13 | 30/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 36/1 |
| 5 | 15 | 51/1 |
| 6 | 16 | 67/2 |
| 7 | 12 | 79/2 |
| 8 | 11 | 90/2 |
| 9 | 9 | 99/3 |
| 10 | 9 | 108/4 |
| 11 | 10 | 118/4 |
Matthew Wade: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Josh Inglis: Prime Video AU & NZ · CC BY 3.0
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Trent Boult: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.