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Super Smash · 2023/24 · Men
3 Jan 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Otago started on 40%; Otago batted first.
Otago's chances ranged from 1% to 57% during the match (Canterbury: 43% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Bowescaught · Max Chu · Andrew Hazeldine 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Max Chu · b Andrew Hazeldine | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Henry Nichollscaught · Max Chu · Travis Muller 9 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Max Chu · b Travis Muller | 59 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 178.79 |
| Leo Carterlbw · Andrew Hazeldine 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Andrew Hazeldine | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 225.00 |
| Cole McConchierun out · Ben Lockrose · Jacob Duffy 5 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ben Lockrose | 39 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 125.81 |
| Mitchell Haybowled · Travis Muller 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Travis Muller | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| not out |
| 12* |
| 15 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 80.00 |
| Bevon Jacobscaught · Andrew Hazeldine · Jake Gibson 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Andrew Hazeldine · b Jake Gibson | 19 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 158.33 |
|---|
| Zakary Foulkesnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 13* | 9 | 1 | 1 | 144.44 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 14 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Hazeldine0 maidens · 7 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 9.67 | 7 | 1 |
 Jacob Duffy0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 9.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Travis Muller0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 9.33 | 1 | 1 |
| Glenn Phillips0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 8.12 | 1 | 0 |
| Jake Gibson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Ben Lockrose0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 13.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-23 (Chad Bowes, 3.0) · 2-62 (Leo Carter, 4.5) · 3-98 (Henry Nicholls, 10.3) · 4-98 (Mitchell Hay, 10.4) · 5-131 (Cole McConchie, 13.5) · 6-156 (Bevon Jacobs, 16.4)
Recorded target: 172 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 14 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 23/1 |
| 4 | 15 | 38/1 |
| 5 | 24 | 62/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 70/2 |
| 7 | 8 | 78/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 82/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 85/2 |
| 10 | 12 | 97/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 102/4 |
| 12 | 15 | 117/4 |
| 13 | 12 | 129/4 |
| 14 | 2 | 131/5 |
| 15 | 8 | 139/5 |
| 16 | 15 | 154/5 |
| 17 | 3 | 157/6 |
| 18 | 7 | 164/6 |
| 19 | 11 | 175/6 |
Max Chu: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
