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West Indies tour of New Zealand · 2025/26 · Men
18 Dec 2025 · Test
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui · Venue photographRecorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Campbellcaught · Glenn Phillips · Ajaz Patel 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Glenn Phillips · b Ajaz Patel | 16 | 105 | 2 | 0 | 15.24 |
| Brandon Kingcaught · Glenn Phillips · Jacob Duffy 13 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Glenn Phillips · b Jacob Duffy | 67 | 96 | 13 | 0 | 69.79 |
| Kavem Hodgecaught · Rachin Ravindra · Ajaz Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rachin Ravindra · b Ajaz Patel | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Shai Hopelbw · Ajaz Patel0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ajaz Patel | 3 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 3.85 |
| Alick Athanazecaught · Tom Blundell · Jacob Duffy 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Tom Blundell · b Jacob Duffy |
| 2 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 22.22 |
| Justin Greavescaught · Daryl Mitchell · Jacob Duffy 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Daryl Mitchell · b Jacob Duffy | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Roston Chasecaught · Tom Latham · Jacob Duffy0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Latham · b Jacob Duffy | 5 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 19.23 |
|---|
| Tevin Imlachnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 15* | 90 | 2 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
 Kemar Roachbowled · Glenn Phillips1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Glenn Phillips | 4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
| Anderson Philliplbw · Rachin Ravindra 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Rachin Ravindra | 10 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 26.32 |
|---|
| Jayden Sealesbowled · Jacob Duffy 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jacob Duffy | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 12 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jacob Duffy10 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 22.3 | 10 | 42 | 5 | 1.87 | 3 | 0 |
| Zakary Foulkes0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ajaz Patel21 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 32.0 | 21 | 23 | 3 | 0.72 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Rae6 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 6 | 26 | 0 | 1.86 | 0 | 0 |
| Glenn Phillips2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 2.80 | 0 | 0 |
 Rachin Ravindra2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-87 (Brandon King, 32.5) · 2-87 (John Campbell, 33.4) · 3-88 (Kavem Hodge, 35.4) · 4-91 (Alick Athanaze, 38.2) · 5-98 (Justin Greaves, 42.2) · 6-104 (Roston Chase, 51.0) · 7-107 (Shai Hope, 60.0) · 8-112 (Kemar Roach, 64.3) · 9-138 (Anderson Phillip, 78.4) · 10-138 (Jayden Seales, 80.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 4/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 16/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 16/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 21/0 |
| 7 | 14 | 35/0 |
| 8 | 1 | 36/0 |
| 9 | 0 | 36/0 |
| 10 | 1 | 37/0 |
| 11 | 5 | 42/0 |
| 12 | 0 | 42/0 |
| 13 | 1 | 43/0 |
| 14 | 0 | 43/0 |
| 15 | 0 | 43/0 |
| 16 | 0 | 43/0 |
| 17 | 1 | 44/0 |
| 18 | 1 | 45/0 |
| 19 | 6 | 51/0 |
| 20 | 0 | 51/0 |
| 21 | 8 | 59/0 |
| 22 | 4 | 63/0 |
| 23 | 4 | 67/0 |
| 24 | 1 | 68/0 |
| 25 | 3 | 71/0 |
| 26 | 1 | 72/0 |
| 27 | 0 | 72/0 |
| 28 | 2 | 74/0 |
| 29 | 0 | 74/0 |
| 30 | 0 | 74/0 |
| 31 | 0 | 74/0 |
| 32 | 5 | 79/0 |
| 33 | 8 | 87/1 |
| 34 | 0 | 87/2 |
| 35 | 0 | 87/2 |
| 36 | 2 | 89/3 |
| 37 | 2 | 91/3 |
| 38 | 0 | 91/3 |
| 39 | 0 | 91/4 |
| 40 | 4 | 95/4 |
| 41 | 0 | 95/4 |
| 42 | 0 | 95/4 |
| 43 | 4 | 99/5 |
| 44 | 0 | 99/5 |
| 45 | 1 | 100/5 |
| 46 | 0 | 100/5 |
| 47 | 0 | 100/5 |
| 48 | 0 | 100/5 |
| 49 | 3 | 103/5 |
| 50 | 1 | 104/5 |
| 51 | 0 | 104/6 |
| 52 | 0 | 104/6 |
| 53 | 1 | 105/6 |
| 54 | 0 | 105/6 |
| 55 | 0 | 105/6 |
| 56 | 0 | 105/6 |
| 57 | 2 | 107/6 |
| 58 | 0 | 107/6 |
| 59 | 0 | 107/6 |
| 60 | 0 | 107/7 |
| 61 | 1 | 108/7 |
| 62 | 0 | 108/7 |
| 63 | 4 | 112/7 |
| 64 | 0 | 112/7 |
| 65 | 0 | 112/8 |
| 66 | 4 | 116/8 |
| 67 | 12 | 128/8 |
| 68 | 0 | 128/8 |
| 69 | 2 | 130/8 |
| 70 | 1 | 131/8 |
| 71 | 0 | 131/8 |
| 72 | 0 | 131/8 |
| 73 | 1 | 132/8 |
| 74 | 4 | 136/8 |
| 75 | 0 | 136/8 |
| 76 | 2 | 138/8 |
| 77 | 0 | 138/8 |
| 78 | 0 | 138/8 |
| 79 | 0 | 138/9 |
| 80 | 0 | 138/9 |
| 81 | 0 | 138/10 |
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ajaz Patel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kemar Roach: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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