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West Indies tour of New Zealand · 2025/26 · Men
18 Dec 2025 · Test
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui · Venue photographRecorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tom Lathamcaught · Jayden Seales · Kavem Hodge9 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jayden Seales · b Kavem Hodge | 101 | 130 | 9 | 2 | 77.69 |
| Devon Conwaycaught · Jayden Seales · Kavem Hodge 8 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Jayden Seales · b Kavem Hodge | 100 | 139 | 8 | 3 | 71.94 |
 Kane Williamsonnot out2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 40* | 37 | 2 | 1 | 108.11 |
 |
| not out |
| 46* |
| 23 |
| 0 |
| 4 |
| 200.00 |
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 8 · wides: 5 · noballs: 5 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Seales0 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 3 |
| Anderson Phillip0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 57 | 0 | 6.33 | 1 | 2 |
| Justin Greaves0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Roston Chase0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.0 | 0 | 106 | 0 | 8.15 | 4 | 0 |
| Kavem Hodge1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 17.0 | 1 | 80 | 2 | 4.71 | 0 | 0 |
1-192 (Devon Conway, 39.3) · 2-234 (Tom Latham, 47.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 6/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 9/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 10/0 |
| 6 | 7 | 17/0 |
| 7 | 1 | 18/0 |
| 8 | 7 | 25/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 29/0 |
| 10 | 5 | 34/0 |
| 11 | 1 | 35/0 |
| 12 | 1 | 36/0 |
| 13 | 10 | 46/0 |
| 14 | 3 | 49/0 |
| 15 | 8 | 57/0 |
| 16 | 2 | 59/0 |
| 17 | 3 | 62/0 |
| 18 | 5 | 67/0 |
| 19 | 10 | 77/0 |
| 20 | 7 | 84/0 |
| 21 | 9 | 93/0 |
| 22 | 5 | 98/0 |
| 23 | 5 | 103/0 |
| 24 | 4 | 107/0 |
| 25 | 15 | 122/0 |
| 26 | 2 | 124/0 |
| 27 | 4 | 128/0 |
| 28 | 8 | 136/0 |
| 29 | 3 | 139/0 |
| 30 | 3 | 142/0 |
| 31 | 7 | 149/0 |
| 32 | 2 | 151/0 |
| 33 | 1 | 152/0 |
| 34 | 3 | 155/0 |
| 35 | 7 | 162/0 |
| 36 | 3 | 165/0 |
| 37 | 5 | 170/0 |
| 38 | 4 | 174/0 |
| 39 | 18 | 192/0 |
| 40 | 0 | 192/1 |
| 41 | 7 | 199/1 |
| 42 | 4 | 203/1 |
| 43 | 4 | 207/1 |
| 44 | 5 | 212/1 |
| 45 | 6 | 218/1 |
| 46 | 4 | 222/1 |
| 47 | 8 | 230/1 |
| 48 | 5 | 235/2 |
| 49 | 9 | 244/2 |
| 50 | 10 | 254/2 |
| 51 | 11 | 265/2 |
| 52 | 8 | 273/2 |
| 53 | 21 | 294/2 |
| 54 | 12 | 306/2 |
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ajaz Patel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kemar Roach: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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