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India tour of England · 2025 · Men
31 Jul 2025 · Test
The Oval · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yashasvi Jaiswalcaught · Jamie Overton · Josh Tongue14 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jamie Overton · b Josh Tongue | 118 | 164 | 14 | 2 | 71.95 |
 KL Rahulcaught · Joe Root · Josh Tongue1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joe Root · b Josh Tongue | 7 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Sai Sudharsanlbw · Gus Atkinson 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Gus Atkinson | 11 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 37.93 |
| Akash Deepcaught · Gus Atkinson · Jamie Overton 12 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gus Atkinson |
| 66 |
| 94 |
| 12 |
| 0 |
| 70.21 |
 Shubman Gilllbw · Gus Atkinson2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Gus Atkinson | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 122.22 |
|---|
 Karun Naircaught · Jamie Smith · Gus Atkinson3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Gus Atkinson | 17 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 53.13 |
|---|
 Ravindra Jadejacaught · Harry Brook · Josh Tongue5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Josh Tongue | 53 | 77 | 5 | 0 | 68.83 |
|---|
| Dhruv Jurellbw · Jamie Overton 4 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jamie Overton | 34 | 46 | 4 | 0 | 73.91 |
|---|
 Washington Sundarcaught · Zak Crawley · Josh Tongue4 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Zak Crawley · b Josh Tongue | 53 | 46 | 4 | 4 | 115.22 |
|---|
 Mohammed Sirajlbw · Josh Tongue0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Josh Tongue | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Prasidh Krishnanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 13 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 6 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gus Atkinson3 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 27.0 | 3 | 127 | 3 | 4.70 | 0 | 2 |
| Josh Tongue4 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 30.0 | 4 | 125 | 5 | 4.17 | 4 | 0 |
 Jamie Overton2 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 22.0 | 2 | 98 | 2 | 4.45 | 2 | 0 |
| Jacob Bethell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Joe Root1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-46 (KL Rahul, 9.5) · 2-70 (Sai Sudharsan, 17.2) · 3-177 (Akash Deep, 42.1) · 4-189 (Shubman Gill, 44.1) · 5-229 (Karun Nair, 54.3) · 6-273 (Yashasvi Jaiswal, 64.2) · 7-323 (Dhruv Jurel, 76.2) · 8-357 (Ravindra Jadeja, 83.2) · 9-357 (Mohammed Siraj, 83.5) · 10-396 (Washington Sundar, 88.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 17/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 26/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 28/0 |
| 7 | 1 | 29/0 |
| 8 | 5 | 34/0 |
| 9 | 7 | 41/0 |
| 10 | 5 | 46/1 |
| 11 | 1 | 47/1 |
| 12 | 8 | 55/1 |
| 13 | 0 | 55/1 |
| 14 | 1 | 56/1 |
| 15 | 8 | 64/1 |
| 16 | 0 | 64/1 |
| 17 | 6 | 70/1 |
| 18 | 5 | 75/2 |
| 19 | 6 | 81/2 |
| 20 | 1 | 82/2 |
| 21 | 6 | 88/2 |
| 22 | 9 | 97/2 |
| 23 | 4 | 101/2 |
| 24 | 2 | 103/2 |
| 25 | 2 | 105/2 |
| 26 | 0 | 105/2 |
| 27 | 2 | 107/2 |
| 28 | 6 | 113/2 |
| 29 | 5 | 118/2 |
| 30 | 3 | 121/2 |
| 31 | 5 | 126/2 |
| 32 | 1 | 127/2 |
| 33 | 2 | 129/2 |
| 34 | 10 | 139/2 |
| 35 | 3 | 142/2 |
| 36 | 8 | 150/2 |
| 37 | 0 | 150/2 |
| 38 | 4 | 154/2 |
| 39 | 1 | 155/2 |
| 40 | 3 | 158/2 |
| 41 | 9 | 167/2 |
| 42 | 10 | 177/2 |
| 43 | 4 | 181/3 |
| 44 | 8 | 189/3 |
| 45 | 1 | 190/4 |
| 46 | 2 | 192/4 |
| 47 | 1 | 193/4 |
| 48 | 7 | 200/4 |
| 49 | 5 | 205/4 |
| 50 | 4 | 209/4 |
| 51 | 7 | 216/4 |
| 52 | 5 | 221/4 |
| 53 | 3 | 224/4 |
| 54 | 1 | 225/4 |
| 55 | 9 | 234/5 |
| 56 | 5 | 239/5 |
| 57 | 7 | 246/5 |
| 58 | 8 | 254/5 |
| 59 | 1 | 255/5 |
| 60 | 8 | 263/5 |
| 61 | 5 | 268/5 |
| 62 | 0 | 268/5 |
| 63 | 3 | 271/5 |
| 64 | 1 | 272/5 |
| 65 | 1 | 273/6 |
| 66 | 3 | 276/6 |
| 67 | 2 | 278/6 |
| 68 | 4 | 282/6 |
| 69 | 2 | 284/6 |
| 70 | 7 | 291/6 |
| 71 | 13 | 304/6 |
| 72 | 3 | 307/6 |
| 73 | 3 | 310/6 |
| 74 | 2 | 312/6 |
| 75 | 8 | 320/6 |
| 76 | 2 | 322/6 |
| 77 | 5 | 327/7 |
| 78 | 3 | 330/7 |
| 79 | 8 | 338/7 |
| 80 | 4 | 342/7 |
| 81 | 3 | 345/7 |
| 82 | 9 | 354/7 |
| 83 | 2 | 356/7 |
| 84 | 1 | 357/9 |
| 85 | 7 | 364/9 |
| 86 | 15 | 379/9 |
| 87 | 17 | 396/9 |
| 88 | 0 | 396/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Karun Nair: User:Vishu@2008 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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