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India tour of England · 2025 · Men
31 Jul 2025 · Test
The Oval · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zak Crawleycaught · Ravindra Jadeja · Prasidh Krishna14 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ravindra Jadeja · b Prasidh Krishna | 64 | 57 | 14 | 0 | 112.28 |
 Ben Duckettcaught · Dhruv Jurel · Akash Deep5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Dhruv Jurel · b Akash Deep | 43 | 38 | 5 | 2 | 113.16 |
 Ollie Popelbw · Mohammed Siraj4 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mohammed Siraj | 22 | 44 | 4 | 0 | 50.00 |
| lbw · b Mohammed Siraj |
| 29 |
| 45 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 64.44 |
 Harry Brookbowled · Mohammed Siraj5 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Mohammed Siraj | 53 | 64 | 5 | 1 | 82.81 |
|---|
| Jacob Bethelllbw · Mohammed Siraj 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mohammed Siraj | 6 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
 Jamie Smithcaught · KL Rahul · Prasidh Krishna1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · KL Rahul · b Prasidh Krishna | 8 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 36.36 |
|---|
 Jamie Overtonlbw · Prasidh Krishna0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Prasidh Krishna | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Gus Atkinsoncaught · Akash Deep · Prasidh Krishna 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Akash Deep · b Prasidh Krishna | 11 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 68.75 |
|---|
| Josh Tonguenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 6 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 0 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mohammed Siraj1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 16.2 | 1 | 86 | 4 | 5.27 | 0 | 0 |
| Akash Deep0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 17.0 | 0 | 80 | 1 | 4.71 | 0 | 1 |
| Prasidh Krishna1 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 16.0 | 1 | 62 | 4 | 3.88 | 0 | 2 |
 Ravindra Jadeja0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-92 (Ben Duckett, 12.5) · 2-129 (Zak Crawley, 21.1) · 3-142 (Ollie Pope, 24.4) · 4-175 (Joe Root, 33.0) · 5-195 (Jacob Bethell, 36.4) · 6-215 (Jamie Smith, 42.1) · 7-215 (Jamie Overton, 42.5) · 8-235 (Gus Atkinson, 46.5) · 9-247 (Harry Brook, 51.2)
Absent hurt: CR Woakes
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 18/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 24/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 28/0 |
| 6 | 12 | 40/0 |
| 7 | 11 | 51/0 |
| 8 | 8 | 59/0 |
| 9 | 5 | 64/0 |
| 10 | 7 | 71/0 |
| 11 | 13 | 84/0 |
| 12 | 8 | 92/0 |
| 13 | 1 | 93/1 |
| 14 | 4 | 97/1 |
| 15 | 8 | 105/1 |
| 16 | 4 | 109/1 |
| 17 | 1 | 110/1 |
| 18 | 5 | 115/1 |
| 19 | 9 | 124/1 |
| 20 | 2 | 126/1 |
| 21 | 3 | 129/1 |
| 22 | 5 | 134/2 |
| 23 | 4 | 138/2 |
| 24 | 4 | 142/2 |
| 25 | 4 | 146/3 |
| 26 | 1 | 147/3 |
| 27 | 1 | 148/3 |
| 28 | 4 | 152/3 |
| 29 | 2 | 154/3 |
| 30 | 7 | 161/3 |
| 31 | 4 | 165/3 |
| 32 | 2 | 167/3 |
| 33 | 8 | 175/4 |
| 34 | 1 | 176/4 |
| 35 | 10 | 186/4 |
| 36 | 4 | 190/4 |
| 37 | 6 | 196/5 |
| 38 | 4 | 200/5 |
| 39 | 1 | 201/5 |
| 40 | 6 | 207/5 |
| 41 | 3 | 210/5 |
| 42 | 5 | 215/5 |
| 43 | 0 | 215/7 |
| 44 | 5 | 220/7 |
| 45 | 4 | 224/7 |
| 46 | 6 | 230/7 |
| 47 | 5 | 235/8 |
| 48 | 7 | 242/8 |
| 49 | 1 | 243/8 |
| 50 | 3 | 246/8 |
| 51 | 1 | 247/8 |
| 52 | 0 | 247/9 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Karun Nair: User:Vishu@2008 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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