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South Africa tour of Pakistan · 2025/26 · Men
20 Oct 2025 · Test
Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ryan Rickeltonnot out2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 25* | 29 | 2 | 1 | 86.21 |
 Aiden Markramlbw · Nauman Ali8 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nauman Ali | 42 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 93.33 |
| Tristan Stubbscaught · Salman Ali Agha · Nauman Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Salman Ali Agha · b Nauman Ali | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Tony de Zorzinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 |
| 0 |
| — |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 0 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asif Afridi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Nauman Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 40 | 2 | 6.67 | 0 | 3 |
| Sajid Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.3 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-64 (Aiden Markram, 11.3) · 2-65 (Tristan Stubbs, 12.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 10/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 19/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 24/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 28/0 |
| 7 | 3 | 31/0 |
| 8 | 10 | 41/0 |
| 9 | 5 | 46/0 |
| 10 | 5 | 51/0 |
| 11 | 5 | 56/0 |
| 12 | 9 | 65/2 |
| 13 | 8 | 73/2 |
Imam-ul-Haq: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shaheen Afridi: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Marco Jansen: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Keshav Maharaj: Dave Morton · Public domain
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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