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South Africa tour of Pakistan · 2025/26 · Men
20 Oct 2025 · Test
Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aiden Markramcaught · Saud Shakeel · Sajid Khan4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Saud Shakeel · b Sajid Khan | 32 | 62 | 4 | 1 | 51.61 |
 Ryan Rickeltoncaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Shaheen Afridi1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Shaheen Afridi | 14 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 53.85 |
| Tristan Stubbslbw · Asif Afridi 6 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Asif Afridi | 76 | 205 | 6 | 1 | 37.07 |
| Tony de Zorzilbw · Asif Afridi 1 fours · 2 sixes |
| lbw · b Asif Afridi |
| 55 |
| 93 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 59.14 |
| Dewald Breviscaught · Salman Ali Agha · Asif Afridi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Salman Ali Agha · b Asif Afridi | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Kyle Verreynnecaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Asif Afridi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Asif Afridi | 10 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 34.48 |
|---|
| Senuran Muthusamynot out 8 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 89* | 155 | 8 | 0 | 57.42 |
|---|
 Simon Harmerlbw · Asif Afridi0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Asif Afridi | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
 Marco Jansenlbw · Nauman Ali1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nauman Ali | 12 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 46.15 |
|---|
 Keshav Maharajstumped · Mohammad Rizwan · Nauman Ali3 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Mohammad Rizwan · b Nauman Ali | 30 | 53 | 3 | 0 | 56.60 |
|---|
 Kagiso Rabadacaught · Abdullah Shafique · Asif Afridi4 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Abdullah Shafique · b Asif Afridi | 71 | 61 | 4 | 4 | 116.39 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 0 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shaheen Afridi2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 26.0 | 2 | 95 | 1 | 3.65 | 0 | 0 |
| Nauman Ali3 maidens · 0 wides · 4 no-balls | 28.0 | 3 | 92 | 2 | 3.29 | 0 | 4 |
| Asif Afridi6 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 34.3 | 6 | 79 | 6 | 2.29 | 0 | 0 |
| Sajid Khan3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 29.0 | 3 | 119 | 1 | 4.10 | 0 | 0 |
| Salman Ali Agha0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-22 (Ryan Rickelton, 8.2) · 2-54 (Aiden Markram, 20.4) · 3-167 (Tony de Zorzi, 57.5) · 4-171 (Dewald Brevis, 59.3) · 5-185 (Kyle Verreynne, 65.4) · 6-204 (Tristan Stubbs, 73.4) · 7-210 (Simon Harmer, 75.5) · 8-235 (Marco Jansen, 84.4) · 9-306 (Keshav Maharaj, 100.0) · 10-404 (Kagiso Rabada, 119.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 9/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 14/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 15/0 |
| 6 | 1 | 16/0 |
| 7 | 5 | 21/0 |
| 8 | 1 | 22/0 |
| 9 | 0 | 22/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 24/1 |
| 11 | 0 | 24/1 |
| 12 | 1 | 25/1 |
| 13 | 2 | 27/1 |
| 14 | 2 | 29/1 |
| 15 | 6 | 35/1 |
| 16 | 1 | 36/1 |
| 17 | 2 | 38/1 |
| 18 | 4 | 42/1 |
| 19 | 2 | 44/1 |
| 20 | 10 | 54/1 |
| 21 | 1 | 55/2 |
| 22 | 0 | 55/2 |
| 23 | 3 | 58/2 |
| 24 | 2 | 60/2 |
| 25 | 4 | 64/2 |
| 26 | 1 | 65/2 |
| 27 | 1 | 66/2 |
| 28 | 0 | 66/2 |
| 29 | 10 | 76/2 |
| 30 | 0 | 76/2 |
| 31 | 2 | 78/2 |
| 32 | 2 | 80/2 |
| 33 | 2 | 82/2 |
| 34 | 4 | 86/2 |
| 35 | 1 | 87/2 |
| 36 | 1 | 88/2 |
| 37 | 2 | 90/2 |
| 38 | 3 | 93/2 |
| 39 | 3 | 96/2 |
| 40 | 4 | 100/2 |
| 41 | 0 | 100/2 |
| 42 | 3 | 103/2 |
| 43 | 6 | 109/2 |
| 44 | 2 | 111/2 |
| 45 | 0 | 111/2 |
| 46 | 6 | 117/2 |
| 47 | 0 | 117/2 |
| 48 | 2 | 119/2 |
| 49 | 1 | 120/2 |
| 50 | 0 | 120/2 |
| 51 | 14 | 134/2 |
| 52 | 3 | 137/2 |
| 53 | 8 | 145/2 |
| 54 | 7 | 152/2 |
| 55 | 4 | 156/2 |
| 56 | 5 | 161/2 |
| 57 | 5 | 166/2 |
| 58 | 1 | 167/3 |
| 59 | 4 | 171/3 |
| 60 | 1 | 172/4 |
| 61 | 4 | 176/4 |
| 62 | 2 | 178/4 |
| 63 | 2 | 180/4 |
| 64 | 1 | 181/4 |
| 65 | 4 | 185/4 |
| 66 | 3 | 188/5 |
| 67 | 3 | 191/5 |
| 68 | 2 | 193/5 |
| 69 | 2 | 195/5 |
| 70 | 2 | 197/5 |
| 71 | 2 | 199/5 |
| 72 | 0 | 199/5 |
| 73 | 3 | 202/5 |
| 74 | 2 | 204/6 |
| 75 | 4 | 208/6 |
| 76 | 2 | 210/7 |
| 77 | 6 | 216/7 |
| 78 | 1 | 217/7 |
| 79 | 1 | 218/7 |
| 80 | 3 | 221/7 |
| 81 | 6 | 227/7 |
| 82 | 0 | 227/7 |
| 83 | 4 | 231/7 |
| 84 | 4 | 235/7 |
| 85 | 0 | 235/8 |
| 86 | 5 | 240/8 |
| 87 | 6 | 246/8 |
| 88 | 2 | 248/8 |
| 89 | 11 | 259/8 |
| 90 | 7 | 266/8 |
| 91 | 3 | 269/8 |
| 92 | 4 | 273/8 |
| 93 | 5 | 278/8 |
| 94 | 7 | 285/8 |
| 95 | 1 | 286/8 |
| 96 | 4 | 290/8 |
| 97 | 5 | 295/8 |
| 98 | 6 | 301/8 |
| 99 | 5 | 306/8 |
| 100 | 0 | 306/9 |
| 101 | 4 | 310/9 |
| 102 | 8 | 318/9 |
| 103 | 1 | 319/9 |
| 104 | 2 | 321/9 |
| 105 | 8 | 329/9 |
| 106 | 4 | 333/9 |
| 107 | 12 | 345/9 |
| 108 | 9 | 354/9 |
| 109 | 6 | 360/9 |
| 110 | 8 | 368/9 |
| 111 | 6 | 374/9 |
| 112 | 2 | 376/9 |
| 113 | 5 | 381/9 |
| 114 | 8 | 389/9 |
| 115 | 3 | 392/9 |
| 116 | 1 | 393/9 |
| 117 | 1 | 394/9 |
| 118 | 7 | 401/9 |
| 119 | 3 | 404/9 |
| 120 | 0 | 404/10 |
Imam-ul-Haq: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shaheen Afridi: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Marco Jansen: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Keshav Maharaj: Dave Morton · Public domain
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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