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West Indies tour of New Zealand · 2025/26 · Men
10 Dec 2025 · Test
Basin Reserve, Wellington · Venue photographRecorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tom Lathambowled · Kemar Roach1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kemar Roach | 11 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 26.19 |
| Devon Conwaycaught · Tevin Imlach · Justin Greaves 8 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tevin Imlach · b Justin Greaves | 60 | 108 | 8 | 0 | 55.56 |
 Kane Williamsonbowled · Anderson Phillip7 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Anderson Phillip | 37 | 46 | 7 | 0 | 80.43 |
 |
| caught · Tevin Imlach · b Kemar Roach |
| 5 |
| 13 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 38.46 |
| Daryl Mitchellcaught · Tevin Imlach · Anderson Phillip 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tevin Imlach · b Anderson Phillip | 25 | 52 | 1 | 1 | 48.08 |
|---|
| Mitchell Haycaught · Kemar Roach · Ojay Shields 9 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kemar Roach · b Ojay Shields | 61 | 93 | 9 | 1 | 65.59 |
|---|
| Glenn Phillipscaught · Anderson Phillip · Roston Chase 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Anderson Phillip · b Roston Chase | 18 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Zakary Foulkesnot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 23* | 43 | 3 | 0 | 53.49 |
|---|
 Jacob Duffycaught · Kemar Roach · Anderson Phillip2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kemar Roach · b Anderson Phillip | 11 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 84.62 |
|---|
| Michael Raebowled · Jayden Seales 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jayden Seales | 13 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 118.18 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kemar Roach6 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 16.0 | 6 | 43 | 2 | 2.69 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Seales3 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 17.4 | 3 | 72 | 1 | 4.08 | 2 | 0 |
| Ojay Shields1 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 1 | 50 | 1 | 3.57 | 4 | 0 |
| Anderson Phillip0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.0 | 0 | 70 | 3 | 5.38 | 2 | 0 |
| Justin Greaves4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.0 | 4 | 28 | 1 | 2.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Roston Chase0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-36 (Tom Latham, 13.2) · 2-103 (Kane Williamson, 30.5) · 3-117 (Rachin Ravindra, 34.4) · 4-117 (Devon Conway, 35.1) · 5-190 (Daryl Mitchell, 55.0) · 6-213 (Mitchell Hay, 60.4) · 7-233 (Glenn Phillips, 66.4) · 8-257 (Jacob Duffy, 70.3) · 9-278 (Michael Rae, 74.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 10/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 14/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 21/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 21/0 |
| 7 | 0 | 21/0 |
| 8 | 1 | 22/0 |
| 9 | 2 | 24/0 |
| 10 | 0 | 24/0 |
| 11 | 6 | 30/0 |
| 12 | 4 | 34/0 |
| 13 | 2 | 36/0 |
| 14 | 6 | 42/1 |
| 15 | 5 | 47/1 |
| 16 | 0 | 47/1 |
| 17 | 0 | 47/1 |
| 18 | 7 | 54/1 |
| 19 | 9 | 63/1 |
| 20 | 0 | 63/1 |
| 21 | 4 | 67/1 |
| 22 | 1 | 68/1 |
| 23 | 9 | 77/1 |
| 24 | 6 | 83/1 |
| 25 | 2 | 85/1 |
| 26 | 1 | 86/1 |
| 27 | 7 | 93/1 |
| 28 | 3 | 96/1 |
| 29 | 2 | 98/1 |
| 30 | 0 | 98/1 |
| 31 | 5 | 103/2 |
| 32 | 3 | 106/2 |
| 33 | 6 | 112/2 |
| 34 | 0 | 112/2 |
| 35 | 5 | 117/3 |
| 36 | 2 | 119/4 |
| 37 | 1 | 120/4 |
| 38 | 7 | 127/4 |
| 39 | 4 | 131/4 |
| 40 | 12 | 143/4 |
| 41 | 2 | 145/4 |
| 42 | 0 | 145/4 |
| 43 | 6 | 151/4 |
| 44 | 2 | 153/4 |
| 45 | 2 | 155/4 |
| 46 | 0 | 155/4 |
| 47 | 1 | 156/4 |
| 48 | 2 | 158/4 |
| 49 | 8 | 166/4 |
| 50 | 1 | 167/4 |
| 51 | 8 | 175/4 |
| 52 | 2 | 177/4 |
| 53 | 6 | 183/4 |
| 54 | 4 | 187/4 |
| 55 | 3 | 190/5 |
| 56 | 8 | 198/5 |
| 57 | 2 | 200/5 |
| 58 | 0 | 200/5 |
| 59 | 4 | 204/5 |
| 60 | 0 | 204/5 |
| 61 | 9 | 213/6 |
| 62 | 7 | 220/6 |
| 63 | 8 | 228/6 |
| 64 | 2 | 230/6 |
| 65 | 1 | 231/6 |
| 66 | 0 | 231/6 |
| 67 | 2 | 233/7 |
| 68 | 4 | 237/7 |
| 69 | 7 | 244/7 |
| 70 | 9 | 253/7 |
| 71 | 10 | 263/8 |
| 72 | 2 | 265/8 |
| 73 | 7 | 272/8 |
| 74 | 1 | 273/8 |
| 75 | 5 | 278/9 |
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kemar Roach: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Blair Tickner: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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