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Pakistan tour of England · 2026 · Men
27 Aug 2026 · Test
Lord's · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shan Masoodcaught · Jamie Smith · Jofra Archer0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Jofra Archer | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 9.09 |
| Azan Awaiscaught · Emilio Gay · Ollie Robinson 7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Emilio Gay · b Ollie Robinson | 46 | 102 | 7 | 0 | 45.10 |
 Abdullah Shafiquecaught · Jamie Smith · Josh Tongue0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Josh Tongue | 5 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 15.63 |
 |
| caught · Jordan Cox · b Josh Tongue |
| 8 |
| 10 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 80.00 |
 Saud Shakeellbw · Ollie Robinson4 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ollie Robinson | 16 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Mohammad Rizwanlbw · Ollie Robinson1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ollie Robinson | 7 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 35.00 |
|---|
| Ali Usmanbowled · Jofra Archer 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jofra Archer | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 7.69 |
|---|
| Khurram Shehzadcaught · Harry Brook · Ollie Robinson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Ollie Robinson | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
 Mohammad Abbasbowled · Jofra Archer0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jofra Archer | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 22.22 |
|---|
| Mohammad Alinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 12 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ollie Robinson6 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 13.0 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 0.85 | 0 | 1 |
 Jofra Archer1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 11.2 | 1 | 26 | 3 | 2.29 | 0 | 1 |
| Josh Tongue2 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 2 | 27 | 2 | 4.50 | 5 | 0 |
| Gus Atkinson1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 1 | 33 | 0 | 4.71 | 0 | 0 |
1-5 (Shan Masood, 3.4) · 2-16 (Abdullah Shafique, 14.1) · 3-30 (Mohammad Babar Azam, 17.0) · 4-63 (Saud Shakeel, 22.1) · 5-91 (Mohammad Rizwan, 30.1) · 6-104 (Ali Usman, 33.1) · 7-105 (Khurram Shehzad, 34.2) · 8-106 (Azan Awais, 34.4) · 9-110 (Mohammad Abbas, 37.2)
Absent hurt: Imam-ul-Haq
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 2/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 4/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 6/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 9/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 10/1 |
| 7 | 0 | 10/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 14/1 |
| 9 | 0 | 14/1 |
| 10 | 0 | 14/1 |
| 11 | 0 | 14/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 16/1 |
| 13 | 0 | 16/1 |
| 14 | 0 | 16/1 |
| 15 | 4 | 20/2 |
| 16 | 9 | 29/2 |
| 17 | 1 | 30/3 |
| 18 | 1 | 31/3 |
| 19 | 10 | 41/3 |
| 20 | 2 | 43/3 |
| 21 | 12 | 55/3 |
| 22 | 8 | 63/3 |
| 23 | 0 | 63/4 |
| 24 | 11 | 74/4 |
| 25 | 0 | 74/4 |
| 26 | 2 | 76/4 |
| 27 | 1 | 77/4 |
| 28 | 4 | 81/4 |
| 29 | 5 | 86/4 |
| 30 | 5 | 91/4 |
| 31 | 4 | 95/5 |
| 32 | 4 | 99/5 |
| 33 | 5 | 104/5 |
| 34 | 1 | 105/6 |
| 35 | 2 | 107/8 |
| 36 | 2 | 109/8 |
| 37 | 1 | 110/8 |
| 38 | 0 | 110/9 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Imam-ul-Haq: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Abbas: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jofra Archer: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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