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Photo: Jshecket
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
SA20 · 2023/24 · Men
26 Jan 2024 · T20
Boland Park, Paarl · Venue photographRecorded result
Durban's Super Giants started on 43%; Durban's Super Giants batted first.
Durban's Super Giants's chances ranged from 30% to 100% during the match (Paarl Royals: 0% to 70%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jason Roybowled · Jon-Jon Smuts1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Jon-Jon Smuts | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 120.00 |
 Jos Buttlercaught · Wiaan Mulder · Keshav Maharaj5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Wiaan Mulder · b Keshav Maharaj | 45 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 125.00 |
| Wihan Lubbecaught · Wiaan Mulder · Marcus Stoinis 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wiaan Mulder · b Marcus Stoinis | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
 David Millercaught · Wiaan Mulder · Noor Ahmad0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wiaan Mulder · b Noor Ahmad |
| 12 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 25.00 |
| Mitchell Van Buurencaught · Matthew Breetzke · Keshav Maharaj 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Breetzke · b Keshav Maharaj | 11 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 91.67 |
|---|
| Andile Phehlukwayocaught · Matthew Breetzke · Reece Topley 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Matthew Breetzke · b Reece Topley | 18 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 105.88 |
|---|
| Fabian Allencaught · Wiaan Mulder · Marcus Stoinis 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Wiaan Mulder · b Marcus Stoinis | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 128.57 |
|---|
| Bjorn Fortuincaught · Quinton de Kock · Marcus Stoinis 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Quinton de Kock · b Marcus Stoinis | 13 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 118.18 |
|---|
 Lungi Ngidicaught · Keshav Maharaj · Naveen-ul-Haq0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Keshav Maharaj · b Naveen-ul-Haq | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Obed McCoybowled · Reece Topley 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Reece Topley | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Tabraiz Shamsinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 12 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Reece Topley0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 9.00 | 5 | 0 |
 Marcus Stoinis0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Jon-Jon Smuts0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Naveen-ul-Haq0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.86 | 1 | 0 |
| Noor Ahmad1 maidens · 5 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 5 | 1 |
 Keshav Maharaj0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-34 (Jason Roy, 3.2) · 2-46 (Wihan Lubbe, 5.5) · 3-64 (David Miller, 9.0) · 4-83 (Jos Buttler, 11.3) · 5-88 (Mitchell Van Buuren, 13.1) · 6-104 (Fabian Allen, 15.2) · 7-125 (Bjorn Fortuin, 17.5) · 8-129 (Andile Phehlukwayo, 18.3) · 9-131 (Obed McCoy, 19.0) · 10-133 (Lungi Ngidi, 19.3)
Recorded target: 191 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 24/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 32/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 40/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 43/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 46/2 |
| 7 | 10 | 56/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 64/2 |
| 9 | 0 | 64/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 68/3 |
| 11 | 13 | 81/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 85/4 |
| 13 | 3 | 88/4 |
| 14 | 8 | 96/5 |
| 15 | 6 | 102/5 |
| 16 | 4 | 106/6 |
| 17 | 13 | 119/6 |
| 18 | 6 | 125/7 |
| 19 | 6 | 131/9 |
| 20 | 2 | 133/10 |
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
David Miller: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Jos Buttler: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Keshav Maharaj: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Quinton de Kock: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Lungi Ngidi: Starc99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marcus Stoinis: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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