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South Africa tour of Zimbabwe · 2025 · Men
28 Jun 2025 · Test
Recorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tafadzwanashe Kaitanocaught · LG Pretorius · Corbin Bosch 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · LG Pretorius · b Corbin Bosch | 12 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 19.35 |
| Prince Masvaurecaught · Wiaan Mulder · Codi Yusuf 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wiaan Mulder · b Codi Yusuf | 12 | 76 | 1 | 0 | 15.79 |
| Nick Welchcaught · Tony de Zorzi · Corbin Bosch 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tony de Zorzi · b Corbin Bosch | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Sean Williamscaught · Kyle Verreynne · Corbin Bosch5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kyle Verreynne · b Corbin Bosch | 26 | 18 | 5 |
| 0 |
| 144.44 |
 Craig Ervinecaught · Tony de Zorzi · Corbin Bosch7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tony de Zorzi · b Corbin Bosch | 49 | 77 | 7 | 0 | 63.64 |
|---|
| Wesley Madheverecaught · Kyle Verreynne · Codi Yusuf 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kyle Verreynne · b Codi Yusuf | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Tafadzwa Tsigacaught · Corbin Bosch · Codi Yusuf 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Corbin Bosch · b Codi Yusuf | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Wellington Masakadzacaught · Wiaan Mulder · Keshav Maharaj 9 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wiaan Mulder · b Keshav Maharaj | 57 | 92 | 9 | 0 | 61.96 |
|---|
| Vincent Masekesabowled · Corbin Bosch 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Corbin Bosch | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 30.00 |
|---|
| Blessing Muzarabaninot out 4 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 32* | 29 | 4 | 2 | 110.34 |
|---|
| Tanaka Chivangastumped · Kyle Verreynne · Dewald Brevis 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Kyle Verreynne · b Dewald Brevis | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 4.55 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 6 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Codi Yusuf3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 3 | 22 | 3 | 2.44 | 0 | 0 |
 Wiaan Mulder2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 1.86 | 0 | 0 |
| Kwena Maphaka3 maidens · 5 wides · 1 no-balls | 10.0 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 2.80 | 5 | 1 |
 Keshav Maharaj7 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 24.0 | 7 | 71 | 1 | 2.96 | 0 | 0 |
| Corbin Bosch2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.0 | 2 | 43 | 5 | 3.58 | 1 | 0 |
| Dewald Brevis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.2 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.08 | 0 | 0 |
1-32 (Tafadzwanashe Kaitano, 18.2) · 2-32 (Nick Welch, 18.3) · 3-64 (Sean Williams, 24.2) · 4-68 (Prince Masvaure, 28.1) · 5-72 (Wesley Madhevere, 30.3) · 6-82 (Tafadzwa Tsiga, 32.2) · 7-165 (Craig Ervine, 52.5) · 8-173 (Vincent Masekesa, 56.1) · 9-181 (Wellington Masakadza, 59.4) · 10-208 (Tanaka Chivanga, 66.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 3/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 5/0 |
| 6 | 1 | 6/0 |
| 7 | 2 | 8/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 12/0 |
| 9 | 2 | 14/0 |
| 10 | 1 | 15/0 |
| 11 | 5 | 20/0 |
| 12 | 2 | 22/0 |
| 13 | 6 | 28/0 |
| 14 | 0 | 28/0 |
| 15 | 1 | 29/0 |
| 16 | 3 | 32/0 |
| 17 | 0 | 32/0 |
| 18 | 0 | 32/0 |
| 19 | 8 | 40/2 |
| 20 | 2 | 42/2 |
| 21 | 10 | 52/2 |
| 22 | 4 | 56/2 |
| 23 | 3 | 59/2 |
| 24 | 5 | 64/2 |
| 25 | 0 | 64/3 |
| 26 | 0 | 64/3 |
| 27 | 2 | 66/3 |
| 28 | 2 | 68/3 |
| 29 | 0 | 68/4 |
| 30 | 4 | 72/4 |
| 31 | 0 | 72/5 |
| 32 | 9 | 81/5 |
| 33 | 5 | 86/6 |
| 34 | 7 | 93/6 |
| 35 | 4 | 97/6 |
| 36 | 2 | 99/6 |
| 37 | 8 | 107/6 |
| 38 | 5 | 112/6 |
| 39 | 5 | 117/6 |
| 40 | 4 | 121/6 |
| 41 | 9 | 130/6 |
| 42 | 5 | 135/6 |
| 43 | 3 | 138/6 |
| 44 | 0 | 138/6 |
| 45 | 2 | 140/6 |
| 46 | 1 | 141/6 |
| 47 | 4 | 145/6 |
| 48 | 2 | 147/6 |
| 49 | 3 | 150/6 |
| 50 | 0 | 150/6 |
| 51 | 8 | 158/6 |
| 52 | 5 | 163/6 |
| 53 | 2 | 165/7 |
| 54 | 0 | 165/7 |
| 55 | 2 | 167/7 |
| 56 | 6 | 173/7 |
| 57 | 3 | 176/8 |
| 58 | 1 | 177/8 |
| 59 | 4 | 181/8 |
| 60 | 0 | 181/9 |
| 61 | 0 | 181/9 |
| 62 | 1 | 182/9 |
| 63 | 0 | 182/9 |
| 64 | 14 | 196/9 |
| 65 | 0 | 196/9 |
| 66 | 12 | 208/9 |
| 67 | 0 | 208/10 |
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Keshav Maharaj: Dave Morton · Public domain
Craig Ervine: TheCricketer · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Williams: Larry D. Moore · CC BY 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
