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South Africa tour of Zimbabwe · 2025 · Men
28 Jun 2025 · Test
Recorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Breetzkecaught · Wesley Madhevere · Tanaka Chivanga 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wesley Madhevere · b Tanaka Chivanga | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| Tony de Zorzicaught · Sean Williams · Tanaka Chivanga 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sean Williams · b Tanaka Chivanga | 31 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 88.57 |
 Wiaan Muldercaught · Tafadzwanashe Kaitano · Wesley Madhevere17 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Tafadzwanashe Kaitano · b Wesley Madhevere | 147 | 206 | 17 | 2 | 71.36 |
| David Bedinghamcaught · Sean Williams · Wellington Masakadza 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sean Williams · b Wellington Masakadza |
| 35 |
| 39 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 89.74 |
| LG Pretoriusbowled · Vincent Masekesa 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Vincent Masekesa | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Dewald Brevisbowled · Vincent Masekesa 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Vincent Masekesa | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Kyle Verreynnecaught · Craig Ervine · Wellington Masakadza 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Craig Ervine · b Wellington Masakadza | 36 | 56 | 3 | 0 | 64.29 |
|---|
| Corbin Boschbowled · Wellington Masakadza 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Wellington Masakadza | 36 | 41 | 4 | 0 | 87.80 |
|---|
 Keshav Maharajbowled · Wellington Masakadza4 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Wellington Masakadza | 51 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 72.86 |
|---|
| Codi Yusufnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 17 | 1 | 0 | 47.06 |
|---|
| Kwena Maphakabowled · Blessing Muzarabani 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Blessing Muzarabani | 8 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 2 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blessing Muzarabani1 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 11.5 | 1 | 38 | 1 | 3.21 | 1 | 1 |
| Tanaka Chivanga0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 16.0 | 0 | 76 | 2 | 4.75 | 1 | 1 |
| Wellington Masakadza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 22.0 | 0 | 98 | 4 | 4.45 | 0 | 0 |
| Wesley Madhevere1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 35 | 1 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Vincent Masekesa1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 23.0 | 1 | 117 | 2 | 5.09 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Matthew Breetzke, 1.2) · 2-64 (Tony de Zorzi, 18.1) · 3-136 (David Bedingham, 32.1) · 4-141 (LG Pretorius, 33.5) · 5-155 (Dewald Brevis, 37.1) · 6-259 (Wiaan Mulder, 59.0) · 7-259 (Kyle Verreynne, 59.3) · 8-351 (Corbin Bosch, 77.4) · 9-352 (Keshav Maharaj, 79.1) · 10-369 (Kwena Maphaka, 82.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 6/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 7/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 12/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 15/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 23/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 27/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 31/1 |
| 9 | 0 | 31/1 |
| 10 | 4 | 35/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 39/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 41/1 |
| 13 | 8 | 49/1 |
| 14 | 1 | 50/1 |
| 15 | 1 | 51/1 |
| 16 | 9 | 60/1 |
| 17 | 1 | 61/1 |
| 18 | 3 | 64/1 |
| 19 | 5 | 69/2 |
| 20 | 8 | 77/2 |
| 21 | 4 | 81/2 |
| 22 | 8 | 89/2 |
| 23 | 3 | 92/2 |
| 24 | 11 | 103/2 |
| 25 | 7 | 110/2 |
| 26 | 3 | 113/2 |
| 27 | 2 | 115/2 |
| 28 | 4 | 119/2 |
| 29 | 2 | 121/2 |
| 30 | 3 | 124/2 |
| 31 | 6 | 130/2 |
| 32 | 6 | 136/2 |
| 33 | 3 | 139/3 |
| 34 | 2 | 141/4 |
| 35 | 3 | 144/4 |
| 36 | 5 | 149/4 |
| 37 | 6 | 155/4 |
| 38 | 0 | 155/5 |
| 39 | 7 | 162/5 |
| 40 | 10 | 172/5 |
| 41 | 6 | 178/5 |
| 42 | 1 | 179/5 |
| 43 | 6 | 185/5 |
| 44 | 6 | 191/5 |
| 45 | 5 | 196/5 |
| 46 | 8 | 204/5 |
| 47 | 2 | 206/5 |
| 48 | 8 | 214/5 |
| 49 | 5 | 219/5 |
| 50 | 4 | 223/5 |
| 51 | 2 | 225/5 |
| 52 | 5 | 230/5 |
| 53 | 4 | 234/5 |
| 54 | 9 | 243/5 |
| 55 | 4 | 247/5 |
| 56 | 2 | 249/5 |
| 57 | 4 | 253/5 |
| 58 | 5 | 258/5 |
| 59 | 1 | 259/6 |
| 60 | 1 | 260/7 |
| 61 | 9 | 269/7 |
| 62 | 7 | 276/7 |
| 63 | 3 | 279/7 |
| 64 | 2 | 281/7 |
| 65 | 5 | 286/7 |
| 66 | 5 | 291/7 |
| 67 | 7 | 298/7 |
| 68 | 9 | 307/7 |
| 69 | 3 | 310/7 |
| 70 | 3 | 313/7 |
| 71 | 4 | 317/7 |
| 72 | 13 | 330/7 |
| 73 | 2 | 332/7 |
| 74 | 4 | 336/7 |
| 75 | 5 | 341/7 |
| 76 | 5 | 346/7 |
| 77 | 3 | 349/7 |
| 78 | 3 | 352/8 |
| 79 | 0 | 352/8 |
| 80 | 2 | 354/9 |
| 81 | 2 | 356/9 |
| 82 | 7 | 363/9 |
| 83 | 6 | 369/10 |
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Keshav Maharaj: Dave Morton · Public domain
Craig Ervine: TheCricketer · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Williams: Larry D. Moore · CC BY 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
