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South Africa tour of Zimbabwe · 2025 · Men
28 Jun 2025 · Test
Recorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony de Zorzicaught · Brian Bennett · Tanaka Chivanga 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brian Bennett · b Tanaka Chivanga | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Matthew Breetzkecaught · Brian Bennett · Tanaka Chivanga 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brian Bennett · b Tanaka Chivanga | 13 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 28.89 |
 Wiaan Mulderrun out · Blessing Muzarabani · Blessing Muzarabani1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Blessing Muzarabani | 17 | 47 | 1 | 0 | 36.17 |
| David Bedinghamcaught · Craig Ervine · Tanaka Chivanga 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Craig Ervine · b Tanaka Chivanga | 0 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| LG Pretoriuscaught · Wellington Masakadza · Tanaka Chivanga 11 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Wellington Masakadza · b Tanaka Chivanga | 153 | 160 | 11 | 4 | 95.63 |
|---|
| Dewald Breviscaught · Tanaka Chivanga · Blessing Muzarabani 3 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Tanaka Chivanga · b Blessing Muzarabani | 51 | 41 | 3 | 4 | 124.39 |
|---|
| Kyle Verreynnecaught · Craig Ervine · Wellington Masakadza 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Craig Ervine · b Wellington Masakadza | 10 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 62.50 |
|---|
| Corbin Boschnot out 10 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 100* | 124 | 10 | 0 | 80.65 |
|---|
 Keshav Maharajcaught · Brian Bennett · Vincent Masekesa1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Brian Bennett · b Vincent Masekesa | 21 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 70.00 |
|---|
| Codi Yusufcaught · Sean Williams · Blessing Muzarabani 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sean Williams · b Blessing Muzarabani | 27 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 55.10 |
|---|
| Kwena Maphakanot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 9* | 12 | 0 | 1 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 14 · wides: 0 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blessing Muzarabani7 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 20.0 | 7 | 59 | 2 | 2.95 | 0 | 1 |
| Wellington Masakadza2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 30.0 | 2 | 109 | 1 | 3.63 | 0 | 0 |
| Tanaka Chivanga2 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 16.0 | 2 | 83 | 4 | 5.19 | 0 | 2 |
| Vincent Masekesa1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.0 | 1 | 97 | 1 | 7.46 | 0 | 0 |
| Brian Bennett0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 5.11 | 0 | 0 |
| Wesley Madhevere0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-3 (Tony de Zorzi, 5.4) · 2-21 (Matthew Breetzke, 13.0) · 3-23 (David Bedingham, 14.2) · 4-55 (Wiaan Mulder, 22.3) · 5-150 (Dewald Brevis, 36.5) · 6-181 (Kyle Verreynne, 41.4) · 7-289 (LG Pretorius, 64.2) · 8-330 (Keshav Maharaj, 73.2) · 9-389 (Codi Yusuf, 85.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 2/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 3/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 3/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 3/1 |
| 7 | 0 | 3/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 7/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 12/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 15/1 |
| 11 | 2 | 17/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 19/1 |
| 13 | 2 | 21/2 |
| 14 | 1 | 22/2 |
| 15 | 2 | 24/3 |
| 16 | 11 | 35/3 |
| 17 | 0 | 35/3 |
| 18 | 7 | 42/3 |
| 19 | 0 | 42/3 |
| 20 | 4 | 46/3 |
| 21 | 1 | 47/3 |
| 22 | 6 | 53/3 |
| 23 | 3 | 56/4 |
| 24 | 6 | 62/4 |
| 25 | 6 | 68/4 |
| 26 | 4 | 72/4 |
| 27 | 8 | 80/4 |
| 28 | 10 | 90/4 |
| 29 | 8 | 98/4 |
| 30 | 13 | 111/4 |
| 31 | 5 | 116/4 |
| 32 | 6 | 122/4 |
| 33 | 4 | 126/4 |
| 34 | 3 | 129/4 |
| 35 | 1 | 130/4 |
| 36 | 19 | 149/4 |
| 37 | 1 | 150/5 |
| 38 | 11 | 161/5 |
| 39 | 7 | 168/5 |
| 40 | 3 | 171/5 |
| 41 | 5 | 176/5 |
| 42 | 6 | 182/6 |
| 43 | 6 | 188/6 |
| 44 | 1 | 189/6 |
| 45 | 1 | 190/6 |
| 46 | 3 | 193/6 |
| 47 | 5 | 198/6 |
| 48 | 3 | 201/6 |
| 49 | 5 | 206/6 |
| 50 | 3 | 209/6 |
| 51 | 10 | 219/6 |
| 52 | 1 | 220/6 |
| 53 | 3 | 223/6 |
| 54 | 0 | 223/6 |
| 55 | 4 | 227/6 |
| 56 | 4 | 231/6 |
| 57 | 5 | 236/6 |
| 58 | 5 | 241/6 |
| 59 | 7 | 248/6 |
| 60 | 2 | 250/6 |
| 61 | 9 | 259/6 |
| 62 | 6 | 265/6 |
| 63 | 14 | 279/6 |
| 64 | 9 | 288/6 |
| 65 | 3 | 291/7 |
| 66 | 4 | 295/7 |
| 67 | 2 | 297/7 |
| 68 | 4 | 301/7 |
| 69 | 3 | 304/7 |
| 70 | 6 | 310/7 |
| 71 | 11 | 321/7 |
| 72 | 1 | 322/7 |
| 73 | 7 | 329/7 |
| 74 | 1 | 330/8 |
| 75 | 8 | 338/8 |
| 76 | 0 | 338/8 |
| 77 | 1 | 339/8 |
| 78 | 14 | 353/8 |
| 79 | 0 | 353/8 |
| 80 | 10 | 363/8 |
| 81 | 4 | 367/8 |
| 82 | 6 | 373/8 |
| 83 | 4 | 377/8 |
| 84 | 3 | 380/8 |
| 85 | 9 | 389/9 |
| 86 | 1 | 390/9 |
| 87 | 8 | 398/9 |
| 88 | 5 | 403/9 |
| 89 | 4 | 407/9 |
| 90 | 11 | 418/9 |
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Keshav Maharaj: Dave Morton · Public domain
Craig Ervine: TheCricketer · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Williams: Larry D. Moore · CC BY 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
