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West Indies Women tour of Pakistan · 2024 · Women
30 Apr 2024 · T20
National Stadium, Karachi · Venue photographRecorded result
West Indies more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
West Indies started on 64%; West Indies batted first.
West Indies's chances ranged from 2% to 92% during the match (Pakistan: 9% to 98%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayesha Zafarcaught · Aaliyah Alleyne · Afy Fletcher 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aaliyah Alleyne · b Afy Fletcher | 19 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 86.36 |
| Sidra Ameenbowled · Hayley Matthews 7 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hayley Matthews | 63 | 58 | 7 | 0 | 108.62 |
| Muneeba Alirun out · Shemaine Campbelle, Karishma Ramharack · Hayley Matthews 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Shemaine Campbelle, Karishma Ramharack | 12 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 92.31 |
| Nida Darbowled · Aaliyah Alleyne 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aaliyah Alleyne | 17 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 154.55 |
| Aliya Riazcaught · Shamilia Connell · Afy Fletcher 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shamilia Connell · b Afy Fletcher | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Fatima Sanacaught · Karishma Ramharack · Hayley Matthews 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Karishma Ramharack · b Hayley Matthews |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Natalia Pervaizrun out · Shemaine Campbelle, Aaliyah Alleyne · Afy Fletcher 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Shemaine Campbelle, Aaliyah Alleyne | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Najiha Alvicaught · Rashada Williams · Shamilia Connell 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rashada Williams · b Shamilia Connell | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Tuba Hassannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Rameen Shamimnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 6 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shamilia Connell0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 8.67 | 3 | 0 |
 Chinelle Henry0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Hayley Matthews0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaliyah Alleyne0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 1 |
 Karishma Ramharack0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Afy Fletcher0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-64 (Ayesha Zafar, 9.0) · 2-87 (Muneeba Ali, 13.2) · 3-115 (Nida Dar, 16.2) · 4-119 (Sidra Ameen, 17.3) · 5-119 (Fatima Sana, 17.4) · 6-119 (Aliya Riaz, 18.2) · 7-121 (Natalia Pervaiz, 18.3) · 8-125 (Najiha Alvi, 19.4)
Recorded target: 133 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 14 | 20/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 31/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 39/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 42/0 |
| 6 | 7 | 49/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 53/0 |
| 8 | 6 | 59/0 |
| 9 | 5 | 64/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 69/1 |
| 11 | 3 | 72/1 |
| 12 | 4 | 76/1 |
| 13 | 11 | 87/1 |
| 14 | 5 | 92/2 |
| 15 | 8 | 100/2 |
| 16 | 13 | 113/2 |
| 17 | 4 | 117/3 |
| 18 | 2 | 119/5 |
| 19 | 2 | 121/7 |
| 20 | 9 | 130/8 |
Hayley Matthews: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Karishma Ramharack: SportsMax TV · CC BY 3.0
Shemaine Campbelle: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chinelle Henry: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Afy Fletcher: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shamilia Connell: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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