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Photo: Rae Allen
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
10 Jan 2026 · T20
Brisbane Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Sydney Thunder started on 41%; Sydney Thunder batted first.
Sydney Thunder's chances ranged from 0% to 61% during the match (Brisbane Heat: 39% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Gilkescaught · Jack Wildermuth · Matt Renshaw 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jack Wildermuth · b Matt Renshaw | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 111.11 |
 David Warnerrun out · Nathan McSweeney, James Peirson · Matt Renshaw8 fours · 3 sixes | run out · Nathan McSweeney, James Peirson | 82 | 56 | 8 | 3 | 146.43 |
| Cameron Bancroftcaught · Xavier Bartlett · Thomas Balkin 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Xavier Bartlett · b Thomas Balkin | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
 Sam Billingscaught · James Peirson · Matt Renshaw4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Peirson · b Matt Renshaw | 34 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 130.77 |
 Nic Maddinsoncaught · Matt Renshaw · Matthew Kuhnemann2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Matt Renshaw · b Matthew Kuhnemann | 21 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 150.00 |
|---|
 Daniel Samscaught · Marnus Labuschagne · Xavier Bartlett1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marnus Labuschagne · b Xavier Bartlett | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
 Chris Greennot out0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 12* | 5 | 0 | 1 | 240.00 |
|---|
 David Willeynot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 6 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan McSweeney0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Xavier Bartlett0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 10.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Zaman Khan0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 10.67 | 3 | 0 |
 Matt Renshaw0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Kuhnemann0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Thomas Balkin0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 1 | 1 |
 Marnus Labuschagne0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-35 (Matthew Gilkes, 4.3) · 2-49 (Cameron Bancroft, 7.0) · 3-133 (David Warner, 15.2) · 4-158 (Sam Billings, 17.5) · 5-167 (Daniel Sams, 18.5) · 6-169 (Nic Maddinson, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 14/0 |
| 4 | 20 | 34/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 36/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 42/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 49/2 |
| 8 | 10 | 59/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 67/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 70/2 |
| 11 | 11 | 81/2 |
| 12 | 10 | 91/2 |
| 13 | 15 | 106/2 |
| 14 | 14 | 120/2 |
| 15 | 10 | 130/2 |
| 16 | 7 | 137/3 |
| 17 | 14 | 151/3 |
| 18 | 11 | 162/4 |
| 19 | 7 | 169/5 |
| 20 | 11 | 180/6 |
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Nic Maddinson: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
David Warner: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
James Peirson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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