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Photo: Harrias
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
6 Sept 2025 · T20
The County Ground, Taunton · Venue photographRecorded result
Birmingham Bears started on 38%; Birmingham Bears batted first.
Birmingham Bears's chances ranged from 7% to 90% during the match (Somerset: 10% to 94%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Smeedcaught · Jacob Lintott · Richard Gleeson 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jacob Lintott · b Richard Gleeson | 9 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
 Tom Kohler-Cadmorecaught · Dan Mousley · Oliver Hannon-Dalby4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Dan Mousley · b Oliver Hannon-Dalby | 32 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 123.08 |
 Tom Abellcaught · Rob Yates · Danny Briggs5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Rob Yates · b Danny Briggs | 51 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 164.52 |
| James Rewcaught · Danny Briggs · George Garton 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Danny Briggs · b George Garton | 11 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 84.62 |
| not out |
| 71* |
| 26 |
| 5 |
| 6 |
| 273.08 |
 Lewis Gregorycaught · Dan Mousley · Oliver Hannon-Dalby0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dan Mousley · b Oliver Hannon-Dalby | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 112.50 |
|---|
| Ben Greencaught · Dan Mousley · Oliver Hannon-Dalby 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dan Mousley · b Oliver Hannon-Dalby | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Craig Overtonnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Garton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 45 | 1 | 11.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Oliver Hannon-Dalby0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Richard Gleeson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Ed Barnard0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 14.12 | 1 | 0 |
| Danny Briggs0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Lintott0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-28 (Will Smeed, 3.3) · 2-64 (Tom Kohler-Cadmore, 8.1) · 3-80 (James Rew, 10.5) · 4-134 (Tom Abell, 15.3) · 5-156 (Lewis Gregory, 17.3) · 6-158 (Ben Green, 18.0)
Recorded target: 191 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 14 | 27/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 29/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 41/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 49/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 59/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 64/1 |
| 9 | 1 | 65/2 |
| 10 | 8 | 73/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 80/3 |
| 12 | 13 | 93/3 |
| 13 | 11 | 104/3 |
| 14 | 11 | 115/3 |
| 15 | 17 | 132/3 |
| 16 | 11 | 143/4 |
| 17 | 9 | 152/4 |
| 18 | 6 | 158/6 |
| 19 | 14 | 172/6 |
| 20 | 19 | 191/6 |
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Richard Gleeson: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jake Ball: Dun.can · CC BY 2.0
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Oliver Hannon-Dalby: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Abell: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lewis Gregory: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Tom Kohler-Cadmore: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
