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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
30 May 2026 · T20
The County Ground, Hove · Venue photographRecorded result
Middlesex started on 37%; Middlesex batted first.
Middlesex's chances ranged from 35% to 100% during the match (Sussex: 0% to 65%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Holdencaught · Tom Alsop · Danny Briggs 6 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Tom Alsop · b Danny Briggs | 77 | 41 | 6 | 5 | 187.80 |
 Adam Rossingtoncaught · James Coles · Tymal Mills2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Coles · b Tymal Mills | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Josh de Cairesnot out 7 fours · 5 sixes | not out | 80* | 44 | 7 | 5 | 181.82 |
 Leus du Plooylbw · Tymal Mills3 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Tymal Mills | 36 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 171.43 |
 |
| caught · Jack Carson · b Tymal Mills |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
 Ryan Higginsnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Coles0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 10.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Fynn Hudson-Prentice0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 52 | 0 | 13.00 | 3 | 0 |
 Tymal Mills0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 7.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Danny Lamb0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Danny Briggs0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Jack Carson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 13.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-33 (Adam Rossington, 3.4) · 2-128 (Max Holden, 12.4) · 3-193 (Leus du Plooy, 18.2) · 4-195 (Luke Hollman, 18.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 18 | 32/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 33/1 |
| 5 | 14 | 47/1 |
| 6 | 10 | 57/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 67/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 75/1 |
| 9 | 12 | 87/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 92/1 |
| 11 | 18 | 110/1 |
| 12 | 10 | 120/1 |
| 13 | 9 | 129/2 |
| 14 | 15 | 144/2 |
| 15 | 11 | 155/2 |
| 16 | 11 | 166/2 |
| 17 | 16 | 182/2 |
| 18 | 10 | 192/2 |
| 19 | 5 | 197/4 |
| 20 | 16 | 213/4 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Fynn Hudson-Prentice: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Carson: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Leaning: Dave Morton · Public domain
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Rossington: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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