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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
30 May 2026 · T20
The County Ground, Hove · Venue photographRecorded result
Middlesex started on 37%; Middlesex batted first.
Middlesex's chances ranged from 35% to 100% during the match (Sussex: 0% to 65%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hughescaught · CM Falconer · Eathan Bosch 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · CM Falconer · b Eathan Bosch | 14 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 107.69 |
| Tom Clarkcaught · Adam Rossington · Tom Helm 4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Adam Rossington · b Tom Helm | 31 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 238.46 |
| James Colescaught · Eathan Bosch · Zafar Gohar 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Eathan Bosch · b Zafar Gohar | 33 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 122.22 |
| John Simpsoncaught · Tom Helm · Luke Hollman 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Helm · b Luke Hollman | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 116.67 |
 Tom Alsopcaught · Ryan Higgins · Josh de Caires5 fours · 2 sixes | caught |
| 43 |
| 24 |
| 5 |
| 2 |
| 179.17 |
 Jack Leaningcaught · Max Holden · Eathan Bosch0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Max Holden · b Eathan Bosch | 14 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 127.27 |
|---|
| Danny Lamblbw · Zafar Gohar 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Zafar Gohar | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Jack Carsoncaught · Leus du Plooy · Tom Helm0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Leus du Plooy · b Tom Helm | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 160.00 |
|---|
 Fynn Hudson-Prenticecaught · Eathan Bosch · Tom Helm0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Eathan Bosch · b Tom Helm | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Danny Briggscaught · Eathan Bosch · Noah Cornwell 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Eathan Bosch · b Noah Cornwell | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
 Tymal Millsnot out4 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 20* | 11 | 4 | 0 | 181.82 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Noah Cornwell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.73 | 0 | 0 |
 Tom Helm0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 3 | 10.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Eathan Bosch0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 9.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Luke Hollman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Zafar Gohar0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 9.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Josh de Caires0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-39 (Daniel Hughes, 3.5) · 2-51 (Tom Clark, 4.4) · 3-65 (John Simpson, 6.1) · 4-132 (Tom Alsop, 13.3) · 5-143 (James Coles, 14.3) · 6-145 (Danny Lamb, 15.0) · 7-157 (Jack Carson, 16.3) · 8-157 (Fynn Hudson-Prentice, 16.4) · 9-161 (Jack Leaning, 17.3) · 10-182 (Danny Briggs, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 14 | 21/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 33/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 43/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 52/2 |
| 6 | 13 | 65/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 69/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 73/3 |
| 9 | 9 | 82/3 |
| 10 | 9 | 91/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 99/3 |
| 12 | 16 | 115/3 |
| 13 | 10 | 125/3 |
| 14 | 11 | 136/4 |
| 15 | 9 | 145/6 |
| 16 | 5 | 150/6 |
| 17 | 7 | 157/8 |
| 18 | 4 | 161/9 |
| 19 | 12 | 173/9 |
| 20 | 9 | 182/10 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Fynn Hudson-Prentice: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Carson: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Leaning: Dave Morton · Public domain
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Rossington: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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_and_Tymal_Mills_(right)_(cropped).jpg){kind=link}
