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India tour of Sri Lanka · 2026 · Men
23 Aug 2026 · Test
Sinhalese Sports Club Ground · Venue photographIndia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lahiru Udaracaught · Saransh Jain · Mohammed Siraj 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Saransh Jain · b Mohammed Siraj | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| Kamil Misharalbw · Ravindra Jadeja 3 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Ravindra Jadeja | 32 | 39 | 3 | 1 | 82.05 |
| Pasindu Sooriyabandarastumped · Rishabh Pant · Manav Suthar 10 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Rishabh Pant · b Manav Suthar | 92 | 173 | 10 | 1 | 53.18 |
| Kamindu Mendiscaught · Shubman Gill · Prasidh Krishna 2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Shubman Gill · b Prasidh Krishna | 55 | 92 | 2 | 3 | 59.78 |
| Dhananjaya de Silvacaught · Devdutt Padikkal · Manav Suthar 1 fours · 1 sixes |
| 23 |
| 44 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 52.27 |
| Sonal Dinushanot out 8 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 133* | 264 | 8 | 2 | 50.38 |
|---|
| Niroshan Dickwellalbw · Saransh Jain 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Saransh Jain | 6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Keshara Nuwanthacaught · Dhruv Jurel · Manav Suthar 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dhruv Jurel · b Manav Suthar | 46 | 150 | 4 | 0 | 30.67 |
|---|
| Prabath Jayasuriyacaught · Dhruv Jurel · Ravindra Jadeja 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dhruv Jurel · b Ravindra Jadeja | 2 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 7.14 |
|---|
| Lahiru Kumaracaught · Yashasvi Jaiswal · Ravindra Jadeja 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Yashasvi Jaiswal · b Ravindra Jadeja | 12 | 90 | 1 | 0 | 13.33 |
|---|
| Asitha Fernandonot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 7 · legbyes: 8 · wides: 3 · noballs: 7 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prasidh Krishna3 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 18.3 | 3 | 57 | 1 | 3.08 | 2 | 0 |
 Mohammed Siraj7 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.0 | 7 | 26 | 1 | 1.73 | 1 | 0 |
| Manav Suthar7 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 41.0 | 7 | 121 | 3 | 2.95 | 0 | 1 |
| Saransh Jain4 maidens · 0 wides · 5 no-balls | 37.0 | 4 | 98 | 1 | 2.65 | 0 | 5 |
 Ravindra Jadeja4 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 38.3 | 4 | 94 | 3 | 2.44 | 0 | 1 |
 Shubman Gill0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Yashasvi Jaiswal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Dhruv Jurel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-5 (Lahiru Udara, 3.3) · 2-63 (Kamil Mishara, 14.5) · 3-178 (Kamindu Mendis, 43.1) · 4-209 (Dhananjaya de Silva, 58.5) · 5-212 (Pasindu Sooriyabandara, 60.3) · 6-218 (Niroshan Dickwella, 64.2) · 7-330 (Keshara Nuwantha, 104.4) · 8-355 (Prabath Jayasuriya, 116.3) · 9-402 (Lahiru Kumara, 144.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 3/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 4/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 5/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 10/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 16/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 21/1 |
| 8 | 1 | 22/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 28/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 30/1 |
| 11 | 13 | 43/1 |
| 12 | 5 | 48/1 |
| 13 | 1 | 49/1 |
| 14 | 12 | 61/1 |
| 15 | 2 | 63/2 |
| 16 | 4 | 67/2 |
| 17 | 1 | 68/2 |
| 18 | 2 | 70/2 |
| 19 | 6 | 76/2 |
| 20 | 1 | 77/2 |
| 21 | 3 | 80/2 |
| 22 | 3 | 83/2 |
| 23 | 1 | 84/2 |
| 24 | 3 | 87/2 |
| 25 | 4 | 91/2 |
| 26 | 1 | 92/2 |
| 27 | 6 | 98/2 |
| 28 | 1 | 99/2 |
| 29 | 1 | 100/2 |
| 30 | 6 | 106/2 |
| 31 | 6 | 112/2 |
| 32 | 4 | 116/2 |
| 33 | 7 | 123/2 |
| 34 | 3 | 126/2 |
| 35 | 4 | 130/2 |
| 36 | 4 | 134/2 |
| 37 | 8 | 142/2 |
| 38 | 3 | 145/2 |
| 39 | 5 | 150/2 |
| 40 | 12 | 162/2 |
| 41 | 1 | 163/2 |
| 42 | 8 | 171/2 |
| 43 | 7 | 178/2 |
| 44 | 1 | 179/3 |
| 45 | 1 | 180/3 |
| 46 | 2 | 182/3 |
| 47 | 3 | 185/3 |
| 48 | 0 | 185/3 |
| 49 | 7 | 192/3 |
| 50 | 1 | 193/3 |
| 51 | 1 | 194/3 |
| 52 | 1 | 195/3 |
| 53 | 0 | 195/3 |
| 54 | 0 | 195/3 |
| 55 | 1 | 196/3 |
| 56 | 3 | 199/3 |
| 57 | 4 | 203/3 |
| 58 | 0 | 203/3 |
| 59 | 7 | 210/4 |
| 60 | 2 | 212/4 |
| 61 | 5 | 217/5 |
| 62 | 1 | 218/5 |
| 63 | 0 | 218/5 |
| 64 | 0 | 218/5 |
| 65 | 0 | 218/6 |
| 66 | 0 | 218/6 |
| 67 | 0 | 218/6 |
| 68 | 1 | 219/6 |
| 69 | 3 | 222/6 |
| 70 | 3 | 225/6 |
| 71 | 0 | 225/6 |
| 72 | 2 | 227/6 |
| 73 | 2 | 229/6 |
| 74 | 9 | 238/6 |
| 75 | 4 | 242/6 |
| 76 | 2 | 244/6 |
| 77 | 3 | 247/6 |
| 78 | 1 | 248/6 |
| 79 | 1 | 249/6 |
| 80 | 1 | 250/6 |
| 81 | 3 | 253/6 |
| 82 | 4 | 257/6 |
| 83 | 0 | 257/6 |
| 84 | 5 | 262/6 |
| 85 | 5 | 267/6 |
| 86 | 9 | 276/6 |
| 87 | 3 | 279/6 |
| 88 | 3 | 282/6 |
| 89 | 2 | 284/6 |
| 90 | 8 | 292/6 |
| 91 | 10 | 302/6 |
| 92 | 0 | 302/6 |
| 93 | 1 | 303/6 |
| 94 | 3 | 306/6 |
| 95 | 3 | 309/6 |
| 96 | 5 | 314/6 |
| 97 | 2 | 316/6 |
| 98 | 2 | 318/6 |
| 99 | 2 | 320/6 |
| 100 | 2 | 322/6 |
| 101 | 2 | 324/6 |
| 102 | 2 | 326/6 |
| 103 | 2 | 328/6 |
| 104 | 1 | 329/6 |
| 105 | 1 | 330/7 |
| 106 | 2 | 332/7 |
| 107 | 3 | 335/7 |
| 108 | 5 | 340/7 |
| 109 | 0 | 340/7 |
| 110 | 1 | 341/7 |
| 111 | 1 | 342/7 |
| 112 | 5 | 347/7 |
| 113 | 1 | 348/7 |
| 114 | 5 | 353/7 |
| 115 | 0 | 353/7 |
| 116 | 0 | 353/7 |
| 117 | 2 | 355/8 |
| 118 | 3 | 358/8 |
| 119 | 1 | 359/8 |
| 120 | 1 | 360/8 |
| 121 | 1 | 361/8 |
| 122 | 1 | 362/8 |
| 123 | 1 | 363/8 |
| 124 | 1 | 364/8 |
| 125 | 1 | 365/8 |
| 126 | 1 | 366/8 |
| 127 | 1 | 367/8 |
| 128 | 1 | 368/8 |
| 129 | 0 | 368/8 |
| 130 | 0 | 368/8 |
| 131 | 6 | 374/8 |
| 132 | 0 | 374/8 |
| 133 | 9 | 383/8 |
| 134 | 2 | 385/8 |
| 135 | 2 | 387/8 |
| 136 | 0 | 387/8 |
| 137 | 2 | 389/8 |
| 138 | 4 | 393/8 |
| 139 | 1 | 394/8 |
| 140 | 0 | 394/8 |
| 141 | 1 | 395/8 |
| 142 | 4 | 399/8 |
| 143 | 0 | 399/8 |
| 144 | 0 | 399/8 |
| 145 | 3 | 402/9 |
| 146 | 1 | 403/9 |
| 147 | 1 | 404/9 |
| 148 | 6 | 410/9 |
| 149 | 0 | 410/9 |
| 150 | 1 | 411/9 |
| 151 | 7 | 418/9 |
| 152 | 9 | 427/9 |
| 153 | 1 | 428/9 |
| 154 | 1 | 429/9 |
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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