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India tour of Sri Lanka · 2026 · Men
23 Aug 2026 · Test
Sinhalese Sports Club Ground · Venue photographIndia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lahiru Udaracaught · Yashasvi Jaiswal · Prasidh Krishna 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Yashasvi Jaiswal · b Prasidh Krishna | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| Kamil Misharacaught · Dhruv Jurel · Prasidh Krishna 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dhruv Jurel · b Prasidh Krishna | 19 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 76.00 |
| Prabath Jayasuriyalbw · Manav Suthar 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Manav Suthar | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
| Pasindu Sooriyabandarabowled · Ravindra Jadeja 9 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ravindra Jadeja | 80 | 133 | 9 | 0 | 60.15 |
| Kamindu Mendiscaught · Ravindra Jadeja · Prasidh Krishna 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ravindra Jadeja |
| 32 |
| 58 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 55.17 |
| Dhananjaya de Silvacaught · KL Rahul · Manav Suthar 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · KL Rahul · b Manav Suthar | 8 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Sonal Dinushacaught · KL Rahul · Saransh Jain 8 fours · 3 sixes | caught · KL Rahul · b Saransh Jain | 103 | 162 | 8 | 3 | 63.58 |
|---|
| Niroshan Dickwellacaught · Dhruv Jurel · Mohammed Siraj 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dhruv Jurel · b Mohammed Siraj | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Keshara Nuwanthacaught · Saransh Jain · Manav Suthar 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Saransh Jain · b Manav Suthar | 18 | 74 | 2 | 1 | 24.32 |
|---|
| Lahiru Kumaracaught · Dhruv Jurel · Saransh Jain 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dhruv Jurel · b Saransh Jain | 12 | 58 | 2 | 0 | 20.69 |
|---|
| Asitha Fernandonot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 2 · noballs: 6 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mohammed Siraj0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 11.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 3.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Prasidh Krishna2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 16.0 | 2 | 52 | 3 | 3.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Manav Suthar1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 22.0 | 1 | 85 | 3 | 3.86 | 0 | 0 |
| Saransh Jain5 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 20.4 | 5 | 69 | 2 | 3.34 | 0 | 2 |
 Ravindra Jadeja4 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 20.0 | 4 | 45 | 1 | 2.25 | 0 | 3 |
1-1 (Lahiru Udara, 1.2) · 2-8 (Prabath Jayasuriya, 3.0) · 3-35 (Kamil Mishara, 9.3) · 4-122 (Kamindu Mendis, 30.0) · 5-137 (Dhananjaya de Silva, 34.5) · 6-171 (Pasindu Sooriyabandara, 45.0) · 7-173 (Niroshan Dickwella, 45.3) · 8-230 (Keshara Nuwantha, 68.2) · 9-288 (Lahiru Kumara, 86.5) · 10-290 (Sonal Dinusha, 89.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 2/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 8/2 |
| 4 | 12 | 20/2 |
| 5 | 1 | 21/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 26/2 |
| 7 | 1 | 27/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 31/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 35/2 |
| 10 | 0 | 35/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 41/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 45/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 49/3 |
| 14 | 3 | 52/3 |
| 15 | 0 | 52/3 |
| 16 | 6 | 58/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 63/3 |
| 18 | 6 | 69/3 |
| 19 | 0 | 69/3 |
| 20 | 9 | 78/3 |
| 21 | 5 | 83/3 |
| 22 | 1 | 84/3 |
| 23 | 3 | 87/3 |
| 24 | 1 | 88/3 |
| 25 | 11 | 99/3 |
| 26 | 7 | 106/3 |
| 27 | 6 | 112/3 |
| 28 | 5 | 117/3 |
| 29 | 3 | 120/3 |
| 30 | 2 | 122/4 |
| 31 | 4 | 126/4 |
| 32 | 4 | 130/4 |
| 33 | 1 | 131/4 |
| 34 | 2 | 133/4 |
| 35 | 4 | 137/5 |
| 36 | 3 | 140/5 |
| 37 | 4 | 144/5 |
| 38 | 1 | 145/5 |
| 39 | 2 | 147/5 |
| 40 | 5 | 152/5 |
| 41 | 8 | 160/5 |
| 42 | 3 | 163/5 |
| 43 | 2 | 165/5 |
| 44 | 4 | 169/5 |
| 45 | 2 | 171/6 |
| 46 | 2 | 173/7 |
| 47 | 0 | 173/7 |
| 48 | 4 | 177/7 |
| 49 | 1 | 178/7 |
| 50 | 1 | 179/7 |
| 51 | 1 | 180/7 |
| 52 | 8 | 188/7 |
| 53 | 2 | 190/7 |
| 54 | 0 | 190/7 |
| 55 | 0 | 190/7 |
| 56 | 7 | 197/7 |
| 57 | 5 | 202/7 |
| 58 | 1 | 203/7 |
| 59 | 1 | 204/7 |
| 60 | 1 | 205/7 |
| 61 | 1 | 206/7 |
| 62 | 6 | 212/7 |
| 63 | 0 | 212/7 |
| 64 | 4 | 216/7 |
| 65 | 0 | 216/7 |
| 66 | 5 | 221/7 |
| 67 | 7 | 228/7 |
| 68 | 2 | 230/7 |
| 69 | 0 | 230/8 |
| 70 | 1 | 231/8 |
| 71 | 1 | 232/8 |
| 72 | 5 | 237/8 |
| 73 | 3 | 240/8 |
| 74 | 13 | 253/8 |
| 75 | 3 | 256/8 |
| 76 | 1 | 257/8 |
| 77 | 1 | 258/8 |
| 78 | 2 | 260/8 |
| 79 | 0 | 260/8 |
| 80 | 1 | 261/8 |
| 81 | 1 | 262/8 |
| 82 | 1 | 263/8 |
| 83 | 1 | 264/8 |
| 84 | 1 | 265/8 |
| 85 | 14 | 279/8 |
| 86 | 5 | 284/8 |
| 87 | 4 | 288/9 |
| 88 | 0 | 288/9 |
| 89 | 2 | 290/9 |
| 90 | 0 | 290/10 |
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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