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Namibia T20 Tri-Series · 2026 · Men
22 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Hong Kong more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 39%; Namibia batted first.
Namibia's chances ranged from 40% to 100% during the match (Hong Kong: 0% to 60%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Frylinckcaught · Zeeshan Ali · Nasrulla Rana 5 fours · 8 sixes | caught · Zeeshan Ali · b Nasrulla Rana | 110 | 56 | 5 | 8 | 196.43 |
| J Taanyandabowled · Nasrulla Rana 4 fours · 4 sixes | bowled · b Nasrulla Rana | 56 | 33 | 4 | 4 | 169.70 |
| Gerhard Erasmuscaught · Shahid Wasif · Nasrulla Rana 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Shahid Wasif · b Nasrulla Rana | 31 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 206.67 |
| A Busing-Volschenklbw · Nasrulla Rana 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nasrulla Rana | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| JJ Smitnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 10 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Zane Green |
| caught · Shahid Wasif · b Aizaz Khan |
| 8 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 160.00 |
| Ruben Trumpelmannbowled · Aizaz Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aizaz Khan | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 11 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasrulla Rana0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 4 | 6.00 | 3 | 1 |
| Ateeq Iqbal0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 14.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Ehsan Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 9.75 | 0 | 1 |
| Aizaz Khan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 56 | 2 | 14.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Asad Rasheed0 maidens · 5 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 12.25 | 5 | 1 |
| Mohammad Ghazanfar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 16.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-181 (Jan Frylinck, 14.1) · 2-182 (J Taanyanda, 14.3) · 3-182 (A Busing-Volschenk, 14.5) · 4-219 (Gerhard Erasmus, 18.3) · 5-228 (Zane Green, 19.3) · 6-230 (Ruben Trumpelmann, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 25/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 31/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 38/0 |
| 5 | 21 | 59/0 |
| 6 | 12 | 71/0 |
| 7 | 9 | 80/0 |
| 8 | 13 | 93/0 |
| 9 | 13 | 106/0 |
| 10 | 18 | 124/0 |
| 11 | 20 | 144/0 |
| 12 | 5 | 149/0 |
| 13 | 17 | 166/0 |
| 14 | 15 | 181/0 |
| 15 | 1 | 182/3 |
| 16 | 15 | 197/3 |
| 17 | 8 | 205/3 |
| 18 | 13 | 218/3 |
| 19 | 7 | 225/4 |
| 20 | 5 | 230/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.