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Quadrangular Twenty20 Series (Hong Kong) · 2025 · Men
13 Apr 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Hong Kong more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 74%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 68% to 99% during the match (Qatar: 1% to 32%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Nagarajancaught · Waqas Barkat · Yasim Murtaza 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Waqas Barkat · b Yasim Murtaza | 28 | 37 | 2 | 0 | 75.68 |
| R Theruvathbowled · Ateeq Iqbal 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ateeq Iqbal | 12 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Ikramullah Khancaught · Waqas Barkat · Nasrulla Rana 3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Waqas Barkat · b Nasrulla Rana | 55 | 35 | 3 | 3 | 157.14 |
| Shahzaib Jamilcaught · Waqas Barkat · Yasim Murtaza 2 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Waqas Barkat · b Yasim Murtaza | 44 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 220.00 |
| Mujeeb Ur Rehmanbowled · Ehsan Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ehsan Khan | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| not out |
| 20* |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 3 |
| 285.71 |
| Mohammed Irshadnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 10 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 13 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayush Shukla0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Ateeq Iqbal0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Nasrulla Rana0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Ehsan Khan0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 7 | 0 |
| Waqas Barkat0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Yasim Murtaza0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 40 | 2 | 20.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-33 (R Theruvath, 6.0) · 2-92 (A Nagarajan, 13.1) · 3-130 (Ikramullah Khan, 16.1) · 4-134 (Mujeeb Ur Rehman, 17.1) · 5-179 (Shahzaib Jamil, 19.4)
Recorded target: 189 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 16/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 22/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 26/0 |
| 6 | 7 | 33/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 37/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 42/1 |
| 9 | 10 | 52/1 |
| 10 | 6 | 58/1 |
| 11 | 15 | 73/1 |
| 12 | 15 | 88/1 |
| 13 | 4 | 92/1 |
| 14 | 14 | 106/2 |
| 15 | 14 | 120/2 |
| 16 | 10 | 130/2 |
| 17 | 4 | 134/3 |
| 18 | 13 | 147/4 |
| 19 | 14 | 161/4 |
| 20 | 26 | 187/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.