PakistanversusWest Indies

17 Jan 2025 · Test

Multan Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Pakistan won by 127 runs

Pakistan68.5 overs230/10 West Indies25.2 overs137/10 Pakistan46.4 overs157/10 West Indies36.3 overs123/10 Multan Cricket Stadium ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Pakistan more likely to win

68%Pakistan13%Draw19%West Indies

Why

Pakistan are playing at home in Pakistan
On results in Tests so far, Pakistan rate stronger than West Indies (1,468 vs 1,392 on our results rating)
In the last 10 Tests between these sides, Pakistan won 6 and West Indies won 4

Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.