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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
18 Jul 2024 · T20
County Ground, Northampton · Venue photographRecorded result
Northamptonshire started on 43%; Northamptonshire batted first.
Northamptonshire's chances ranged from 28% to 98% during the match (Birmingham Bears: 2% to 72%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Moeen Alicaught · Lewis McManus · David Willey0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b David Willey | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Alex Daviesbowled · Ben Sanderson 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ben Sanderson | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Dan Mousleycaught · Lewis McManus · David Willey 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b David Willey | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Sam Haincaught · Lewis McManus · Jack White 10 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b Jack White | 93 | 60 | 10 | 3 | 155.00 |
| Jacob Bethellcaught · Jack White · Ravi Bopara 2 fours · 4 sixes |
| 50 |
| 31 |
| 2 |
| 4 |
| 161.29 |
| Chris Benjamincaught · Ricardo Vasconcelos · Ashton Agar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ricardo Vasconcelos · b Ashton Agar | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| George Gartonnot out 2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 29* | 20 | 2 | 1 | 145.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Willey0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Ben Sanderson0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 1 | 10.75 | 6 | 0 |
| Jack White0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Ashton Agar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Ravi Bopara0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Freddie Heldreich0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Moeen Ali, 0.1) · 2-0 (Dan Mousley, 0.4) · 3-11 (Alex Davies, 2.0) · 4-103 (Jacob Bethell, 11.4) · 5-106 (Chris Benjamin, 12.1) · 6-186 (Sam Hain, 20.0)
Recorded target: 198 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | 11/3 |
| 3 | 11 | 22/3 |
| 4 | 5 | 27/3 |
| 5 | 10 | 37/3 |
| 6 | 11 | 48/3 |
| 7 | 9 | 57/3 |
| 8 | 11 | 68/3 |
| 9 | 10 | 78/3 |
| 10 | 10 | 88/3 |
| 11 | 11 | 99/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 106/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 112/5 |
| 14 | 9 | 121/5 |
| 15 | 4 | 125/5 |
| 16 | 13 | 138/5 |
| 17 | 8 | 146/5 |
| 18 | 13 | 159/5 |
| 19 | 14 | 173/5 |
| 20 | 13 | 186/6 |
Ashton Agar: Nic Redhead from Birmingham, UK · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ben Sanderson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravi Bopara: Stephen Turner at English Wikipedia · CC BY-SA 3.0
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Gus Miller: Dave Morton · Public domain
Freddie Heldreich: Cavalryman · CC BY-SA 4.0
Moeen Ali: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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