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Photo: Will Noakes
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
20 Jun 2024 · T20
Edgbaston · Venue photographRecorded result
Birmingham Bears started on 60%; Birmingham Bears batted first.
Birmingham Bears's chances ranged from 56% to 100% during the match (Northamptonshire: 0% to 44%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Willeycaught · Ed Barnard · Richard Gleeson0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ed Barnard · b Richard Gleeson | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 200.00 |
| Matthew Breetzkecaught · Jacob Lintott · Craig Miles 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jacob Lintott · b Craig Miles | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 128.57 |
| George Bartlettcaught · Dan Mousley · Richard Gleeson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dan Mousley · b Richard Gleeson | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
 Ravi Boparastumped · Alex Davies · Jacob Lintott3 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Alex Davies · b Jacob Lintott | 34 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 121.43 |
 Sikandar Razacaught · Ed Barnard · George Garton1 fours · 1 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Ed Barnard · b George Garton |
| 13 |
| 11 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 118.18 |
| Saif Zaibcaught · Sam Hain · George Garton 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Hain · b George Garton | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Lewis McManuscaught · Craig Miles · Jacob Bethell 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Craig Miles · b Jacob Bethell | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 128.57 |
|---|
| Justin Broadcaught · Ed Barnard · Danny Briggs 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ed Barnard · b Danny Briggs | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
 Ben Sandersonstumped · Alex Davies · Jacob Bethell0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Alex Davies · b Jacob Bethell | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
 Freddie Heldreichnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 21* | 27 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
|---|
| RA Weatherallnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 21* | 21 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Garton0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 11.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Richard Gleeson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1.71 | 0 | 0 |
| Craig Miles0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Ed Barnard0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.5 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 13.20 | 0 | 0 |
| Danny Briggs0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Lintott0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Bethell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Dan Mousley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-13 (David Willey, 1.1) · 2-15 (George Bartlett, 1.5) · 3-20 (Matthew Breetzke, 2.4) · 4-48 (Sikandar Raza, 5.5) · 5-48 (Saif Zaib, 6.0) · 6-69 (Lewis McManus, 8.5) · 7-85 (Justin Broad, 10.5) · 8-87 (Ravi Bopara, 11.4) · 9-89 (Ben Sanderson, 12.3)
Recorded target: 220 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 15/2 |
| 3 | 6 | 21/3 |
| 4 | 11 | 32/3 |
| 5 | 6 | 38/3 |
| 6 | 10 | 48/5 |
| 7 | 9 | 57/5 |
| 8 | 6 | 63/5 |
| 9 | 7 | 70/6 |
| 10 | 9 | 79/6 |
| 11 | 6 | 85/7 |
| 12 | 3 | 88/8 |
| 13 | 2 | 90/9 |
| 14 | 7 | 97/9 |
| 15 | 9 | 106/9 |
| 16 | 6 | 112/9 |
| 17 | 3 | 115/9 |
| 18 | 5 | 120/9 |
| 19 | 4 | 124/9 |
| 20 | 5 | 129/9 |
Ben Sanderson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravi Bopara: Stephen Turner at English Wikipedia · CC BY-SA 3.0
Richard Gleeson: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Freddie Heldreich: Cavalryman · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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