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Photo: RIDHVAN SHARMA
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Zimbabwe Twenty20 Tri-Series · 2025 · Men
18 Jul 2025 · T20
Harare Sports Club · Venue photographRecorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Zimbabwe started on 26%; Zimbabwe batted first.
Zimbabwe's chances ranged from 0% to 39% during the match (New Zealand: 61% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Seifertcaught · Tashinga Musekiwa · Blessing Muzarabani 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tashinga Musekiwa · b Blessing Muzarabani | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
| Devon Conwaynot out 4 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 59* | 40 | 4 | 2 | 147.50 |
 Rachin Ravindracaught · Blessing Muzarabani · Tinotenda Maposa4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Blessing Muzarabani · b Tinotenda Maposa | 30 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 157.89 |
| Daryl Mitchellnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 26* | 19 | 1 | 1 | 136.84 |
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|
| Richard Ngarava0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blessing Muzarabani0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Trevor Gwandu0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.5 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 15.27 | 2 | 0 |
| Tinotenda Maposa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Sikandar Raza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-5 (Tim Seifert, 1.1) · 2-64 (Rachin Ravindra, 8.3)
Recorded target: 121 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 14/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 19/1 |
| 5 | 13 | 32/1 |
| 6 | 11 | 43/1 |
| 7 | 11 | 54/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 61/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 69/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 74/2 |
| 11 | 14 | 88/2 |
| 12 | 11 | 99/2 |
| 13 | 8 | 107/2 |
| 14 | 15 | 122/2 |
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Clive Madande: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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