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Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
20 Jun 2025 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographSurrey started on 63%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 63% to 100% during the match (Middlesex: 0% to 38%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Eskinazibowled · Mitchell Santner 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mitchell Santner | 20 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 86.96 |
 Kane Williamsoncaught · Jason Roy · Tom Curran5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jason Roy · b Tom Curran | 26 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 173.33 |
| Max Holdencaught · Nathan Smith · Mitchell Santner 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nathan Smith · b Mitchell Santner | 16 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Ben Geddescaught · Ollie Sykes · Nathan Smith 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Sykes · b Nathan Smith | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 |
| caught · Sam Curran · b Nathan Smith |
| 27 |
| 26 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 103.85 |
| Joe Cracknellcaught · Will Jacks · Tom Curran 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Jacks · b Tom Curran | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Luke Hollmanbowled · Mitchell Santner2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mitchell Santner | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 171.43 |
|---|
 Zafar Goharcaught · Will Jacks · Reece Topley0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Jacks · b Reece Topley | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Tom Helmcaught · Sam Curran · Reece Topley0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Curran · b Reece Topley | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
 Noah Cornwellstumped · Laurie Evans · Will Jacks0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Laurie Evans · b Will Jacks | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
| Neha Sharmanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Reece Topley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Tom Curran0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Sam Curran0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 8.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Mitchell Santner0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 6.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Nathan Smith0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Will Jacks0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-34 (Kane Williamson, 4.0) · 2-63 (Max Holden, 7.3) · 3-64 (Ben Geddes, 8.4) · 4-68 (Stephen Eskinazi, 9.4) · 5-77 (Joe Cracknell, 11.2) · 6-95 (Luke Hollman, 13.2) · 7-98 (Zafar Gohar, 14.2) · 8-107 (Tom Helm, 16.1) · 9-117 (Ryan Higgins, 17.5) · 10-119 (Noah Cornwell, 18.4)
Recorded target: 195 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 16 | 27/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 34/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 42/1 |
| 6 | 10 | 52/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 60/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 63/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 65/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 70/4 |
| 11 | 6 | 76/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 80/5 |
| 13 | 11 | 91/5 |
| 14 | 7 | 98/6 |
| 15 | 5 | 103/7 |
| 16 | 4 | 107/7 |
| 17 | 2 | 109/8 |
| 18 | 9 | 118/9 |
| 19 | 1 | 119/10 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dominic Sibley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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