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India tour of Australia · 2024/25 · Men
22 Nov 2024 · Test
Perth Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Usman Khawajacaught · Virat Kohli · Jasprit Bumrah1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Virat Kohli · b Jasprit Bumrah | 8 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 42.11 |
| Nathan McSweeneylbw · Jasprit Bumrah 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jasprit Bumrah | 10 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 76.92 |
 Marnus Labuschagnelbw · Mohammed Siraj0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mohammed Siraj | 2 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 3.85 |
 |
| lbw · b Jasprit Bumrah |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
 Travis Headbowled · Harshit Rana2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Harshit Rana | 11 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 84.62 |
|---|
 Mitchell Marshcaught · KL Rahul · Mohammed Siraj1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · KL Rahul · b Mohammed Siraj | 6 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 31.58 |
|---|
 Alex Careycaught · Rishabh Pant · Jasprit Bumrah3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rishabh Pant · b Jasprit Bumrah | 21 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 67.74 |
|---|
 Pat Cumminscaught · Rishabh Pant · Jasprit Bumrah0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rishabh Pant · b Jasprit Bumrah | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
 Mitchell Starccaught · Rishabh Pant · Harshit Rana2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rishabh Pant · b Harshit Rana | 26 | 112 | 2 | 0 | 23.21 |
|---|
 Nathan Lyoncaught · KL Rahul · Harshit Rana0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · KL Rahul · b Harshit Rana | 5 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 31.25 |
|---|
 Josh Hazlewoodnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 31 | 1 | 0 | 22.58 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 0 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jasprit Bumrah6 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 18.0 | 6 | 30 | 5 | 1.67 | 0 | 2 |
 Mohammed Siraj7 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.0 | 7 | 20 | 2 | 1.54 | 0 | 0 |
| Harshit Rana3 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 15.2 | 3 | 48 | 3 | 3.13 | 0 | 2 |
 Nitish Kumar Reddy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Washington Sundar1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-14 (Nathan McSweeney, 2.3) · 2-19 (Usman Khawaja, 6.4) · 3-19 (Steve Smith, 6.5) · 4-31 (Travis Head, 11.1) · 5-38 (Mitchell Marsh, 16.5) · 6-47 (Marnus Labuschagne, 21.0) · 7-59 (Pat Cummins, 24.2) · 8-70 (Alex Carey, 28.1) · 9-79 (Nathan Lyon, 33.2) · 10-104 (Mitchell Starc, 51.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 14/1 |
| 4 | 0 | 14/1 |
| 5 | 0 | 14/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 19/1 |
| 7 | 0 | 19/3 |
| 8 | 0 | 19/3 |
| 9 | 1 | 20/3 |
| 10 | 10 | 30/3 |
| 11 | 1 | 31/3 |
| 12 | 2 | 33/4 |
| 13 | 0 | 33/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 37/4 |
| 15 | 0 | 37/4 |
| 16 | 1 | 38/4 |
| 17 | 0 | 38/5 |
| 18 | 4 | 42/5 |
| 19 | 0 | 42/5 |
| 20 | 0 | 42/5 |
| 21 | 5 | 47/6 |
| 22 | 1 | 48/6 |
| 23 | 0 | 48/6 |
| 24 | 9 | 57/6 |
| 25 | 2 | 59/7 |
| 26 | 3 | 62/7 |
| 27 | 5 | 67/7 |
| 28 | 3 | 70/7 |
| 29 | 0 | 70/8 |
| 30 | 0 | 70/8 |
| 31 | 4 | 74/8 |
| 32 | 3 | 77/8 |
| 33 | 2 | 79/8 |
| 34 | 0 | 79/9 |
| 35 | 0 | 79/9 |
| 36 | 3 | 82/9 |
| 37 | 5 | 87/9 |
| 38 | 5 | 92/9 |
| 39 | 1 | 93/9 |
| 40 | 1 | 94/9 |
| 41 | 1 | 95/9 |
| 42 | 1 | 96/9 |
| 43 | 0 | 96/9 |
| 44 | 2 | 98/9 |
| 45 | 1 | 99/9 |
| 46 | 1 | 100/9 |
| 47 | 1 | 101/9 |
| 48 | 1 | 102/9 |
| 49 | 0 | 102/9 |
| 50 | 0 | 102/9 |
| 51 | 1 | 103/9 |
| 52 | 1 | 104/10 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Nitish Kumar Reddy: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Nathan Lyon: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Virat Kohli: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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