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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2025 · Men
6 May 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 75%; Netherlands batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aryansh Sharmacaught · Scott Edwards · Paul van Meekeren 8 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Scott Edwards · b Paul van Meekeren | 42 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 85.71 |
| Sagar Kalyancaught · Noah Croes · Vivian Kingma 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Noah Croes · b Vivian Kingma | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 36.36 |
| Vriitya Aravindbowled · Vivian Kingma 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Vivian Kingma | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
| Rahul Chopracaught · Scott Edwards · Paul van Meekeren 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Scott Edwards · b Paul van Meekeren | 11 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 73.33 |
 Alishan Sharafucaught · Teja Nidamanuru · Michael Levitt5 fours · 1 sixes |
Netherlands's chances ranged from 74% to 100% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 0% to 26%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Teja Nidamanuru · b Michael Levitt |
| 58 |
| 65 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 89.23 |
| Waseem Muhammadrun out · Scott Edwards, Bas de Leede · Roelof van der Merwe 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Scott Edwards, Bas de Leede | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| D Parasharcaught · Michael Levitt · Paul van Meekeren 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Michael Levitt · b Paul van Meekeren | 13 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 34.21 |
|---|
| Aayan Afzal Khancaught · Zach Lion-Cachet · Kyle Klein 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zach Lion-Cachet · b Kyle Klein | 5 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 19.23 |
|---|
| SS Kangbowled · Kyle Klein 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kyle Klein | 11 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 42.31 |
|---|
| Junaid Siddiquenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Muhammad Jawadullahbowled · Zach Lion-Cachet 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Zach Lion-Cachet | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Kingma1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 1 | 28 | 2 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Klein0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 43 | 2 | 4.78 | 0 | 0 |
| Paul van Meekeren2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 2 | 24 | 3 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Michael Levitt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 3.89 | 0 | 0 |
 Roelof van der Merwe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Zach Lion-Cachet0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1.71 | 0 | 0 |
1-25 (Sagar Kalyan, 5.0) · 2-29 (Vriitya Aravind, 6.2) · 3-56 (Rahul Chopra, 11.2) · 4-72 (Aryansh Sharma, 16.0) · 5-97 (Waseem Muhammad, 21.2) · 6-129 (Alishan Sharafu, 28.3) · 7-139 (D Parashar, 33.1) · 8-149 (Aayan Afzal Khan, 39.0) · 9-158 (SS Kang, 40.4) · 10-159 (Muhammad Jawadullah, 41.2)
Recorded target: 273 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 13 | 25/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 25/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 27/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 34/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 39/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 47/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 54/2 |
| 11 | 2 | 56/2 |
| 12 | 2 | 58/3 |
| 13 | 1 | 59/3 |
| 14 | 7 | 66/3 |
| 15 | 5 | 71/3 |
| 16 | 1 | 72/4 |
| 17 | 11 | 83/4 |
| 18 | 6 | 89/4 |
| 19 | 2 | 91/4 |
| 20 | 2 | 93/4 |
| 21 | 3 | 96/4 |
| 22 | 4 | 100/5 |
| 23 | 2 | 102/5 |
| 24 | 1 | 103/5 |
| 25 | 11 | 114/5 |
| 26 | 2 | 116/5 |
| 27 | 2 | 118/5 |
| 28 | 9 | 127/5 |
| 29 | 2 | 129/6 |
| 30 | 3 | 132/6 |
| 31 | 4 | 136/6 |
| 32 | 1 | 137/6 |
| 33 | 2 | 139/6 |
| 34 | 0 | 139/7 |
| 35 | 6 | 145/7 |
| 36 | 0 | 145/7 |
| 37 | 2 | 147/7 |
| 38 | 1 | 148/7 |
| 39 | 1 | 149/8 |
| 40 | 7 | 156/8 |
| 41 | 3 | 159/9 |
| 42 | 0 | 159/10 |
Bas de Leede: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zach Lion-Cachet: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
