OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: No machine-readable author provided. FrWaters assumed (based on copyright claims).
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.5
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
New Zealand tour of West Indies · 2026 · Men
16 Jul 2026 · ODI
Providence Stadium, Guyana · Venue photographRecorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
West Indies started on 27%; West Indies batted first.
West Indies's chances ranged from 0% to 41% during the match (New Zealand: 59% to 100%).
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Campbellretired hurt · Nathan Smith 0 fours · 0 sixes | retired hurt | 6* | 16 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
| Ackeem Augustecaught · Mitchell Santner · Jacob Duffy 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mitchell Santner · b Jacob Duffy | 26 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 96.30 |
| Keacy Cartylbw · Michael Bracewell 6 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Michael Bracewell | 48 | 77 | 6 | 0 | 62.34 |
 Shai Hopebowled · Jayden Lennox0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jayden Lennox | 8 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 47.06 |
| Sherfane Rutherfordcaught · Nathan Smith · Mitchell Santner 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nathan Smith · b Mitchell Santner |
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 4 |
| 14 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 28.57 |
 Shimron Hetmyercaught · Nathan Smith · Michael Bracewell0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Nathan Smith · b Michael Bracewell | 26 | 28 | 0 | 2 | 92.86 |
|---|
| Keemo Paullbw · Jayden Lennox 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jayden Lennox | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
|---|
| Gudakesh Motiebowled · Jayden Lennox 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jayden Lennox | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Khary Pierrebowled · Mitchell Santner 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mitchell Santner | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Alzarri Josephbowled · Jayden Lennox 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jayden Lennox | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
|---|
| Vitel Lawesnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 15 | 0 | 0 | 6.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jacob Duffy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Smith0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Mitchell Santner3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.1 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 1.84 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Lennox0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 52 | 4 | 5.20 | 1 | 0 |
| Michael Bracewell0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 3.30 | 1 | 0 |
1-38 (Ackeem Auguste, 9.0) · 2-67 (Shai Hope, 16.5) · 3-72 (Sherfane Rutherford, 19.5) · 4-121 (Keacy Carty, 28.5) · 5-128 (Shimron Hetmyer, 30.5) · 6-128 (Keemo Paul, 31.2) · 7-129 (Gudakesh Motie, 31.5) · 8-137 (Alzarri Joseph, 33.4) · 9-140 (Khary Pierre, 37.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 10/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 19/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 24/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 26/0 |
| 7 | 5 | 31/0 |
| 8 | 6 | 37/0 |
| 9 | 1 | 38/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 40/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 44/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 46/1 |
| 13 | 9 | 55/1 |
| 14 | 0 | 55/1 |
| 15 | 3 | 58/1 |
| 16 | 8 | 66/1 |
| 17 | 1 | 67/2 |
| 18 | 2 | 69/2 |
| 19 | 3 | 72/2 |
| 20 | 0 | 72/3 |
| 21 | 2 | 74/3 |
| 22 | 2 | 76/3 |
| 23 | 4 | 80/3 |
| 24 | 5 | 85/3 |
| 25 | 4 | 89/3 |
| 26 | 9 | 98/3 |
| 27 | 6 | 104/3 |
| 28 | 14 | 118/3 |
| 29 | 4 | 122/4 |
| 30 | 4 | 126/4 |
| 31 | 2 | 128/5 |
| 32 | 1 | 129/7 |
| 33 | 6 | 135/7 |
| 34 | 2 | 137/8 |
| 35 | 2 | 139/8 |
| 36 | 0 | 139/8 |
| 37 | 1 | 140/8 |
| 38 | 0 | 140/9 |
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Shimron Hetmyer: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
