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Photo: Krish Dulal
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Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier · 2025/26 · Women
22 Jan 2026 · T20
Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur · Venue photographRecorded result
Bangladesh more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bangladesh started on 57%; Bangladesh batted first.
Bangladesh's chances ranged from 46% to 100% during the match (Namibia: 0% to 54%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sune Wittmanncaught · Juairiya Ferdous · Fahima Khatun 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Juairiya Ferdous · b Fahima Khatun | 19 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 79.17 |
| Yasmeen Khanbowled · Rabeya Khan 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Rabeya Khan | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Kayleen Greenbowled · Rabeya Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Rabeya Khan | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| M Gorasesbowled · Sanjida Akter Meghla 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sanjida Akter Meghla | 12 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 70.59 |
| Wilka Mwatilecaught · Rabeya Khan · Fahima Khatun 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rabeya Khan · b Fahima Khatun | 9 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 69.23 |
| caught · Fariha Trisna · b Sanjida Akter Meghla |
| 2 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 40.00 |
| M Mwatilecaught · Dilara Akter · Rabeya Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dilara Akter · b Rabeya Khan | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Arrasta Diergaardtcaught · Rabeya Khan · Sanjida Akter Meghla 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rabeya Khan · b Sanjida Akter Meghla | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Sylvia Shihepobowled · Sanjida Akter Meghla 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sanjida Akter Meghla | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
|---|
| Eveleen Kejarukuabowled · Fahima Khatun 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Fahima Khatun | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| S Tuhadeleninot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 12 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fariha Trisna0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Sanjida Akter Meghla1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Rabeya Khan1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Ritu Moni0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Fahima Khatun0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 3.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Shorna Akter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-20 (Yasmeen Khan, 3.1) · 2-26 (Kayleen Green, 5.1) · 3-31 (Sune Wittmann, 7.2) · 4-49 (M Gorases, 10.5) · 5-51 (Wilka Mwatile, 11.5) · 6-53 (N Benjamin, 12.3) · 7-54 (Arrasta Diergaardt, 12.5) · 8-56 (M Mwatile, 14.0) · 9-56 (Sylvia Shihepo, 14.4) · 10-64 (Eveleen Kejarukua, 17.5)
Recorded target: 145 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 20/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 21/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 26/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 28/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 31/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 32/3 |
| 9 | 5 | 37/3 |
| 10 | 8 | 45/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 49/4 |
| 12 | 2 | 51/5 |
| 13 | 3 | 54/7 |
| 14 | 2 | 56/8 |
| 15 | 0 | 56/9 |
| 16 | 0 | 56/9 |
| 17 | 7 | 63/9 |
| 18 | 1 | 64/10 |
Sharmin Akhter: Digimarka · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fahima Khatun: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nigar Sultana: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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