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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia Qualifier B · 2024/25 · Men
23 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 66%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 54% to 100% during the match (Thailand: 0% to 46%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akshaykumar Yadavbowled · Junaid Siddique 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Junaid Siddique | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 45.45 |
| Chaloemwong Chatphaisancaught · Waseem Muhammad · Junaid Siddique 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Waseem Muhammad · b Junaid Siddique | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Y Saranonnakkuncaught and bowled · D Parashar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b D Parashar | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Austin Lazaruscaught · Zuhaib Zubair · D Parashar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zuhaib Zubair · b D Parashar | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| S Rungrueangcaught and bowled · D Parashar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b D Parashar | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| S Desungnoennot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 23 | 1 | 0 | 47.83 |
|---|
| N Salekarbowled · Muhammad Jawadullah 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 61.54 |
|---|
| Chanchai Pengkumtabowled · Muhammad Jawadullah 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Nopphon Senamontreecaught · Waseem Muhammad · SS Kang 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Waseem Muhammad · b SS Kang | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| A Kalasibowled · Zuhaib Zubair 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Zuhaib Zubair | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Sarawut Maliwancaught · Alishan Sharafu · Zuhaib Zubair 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alishan Sharafu · b Zuhaib Zubair | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junaid Siddique0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 2.50 | 3 | 0 |
| D Parashar1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Jawadullah0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 4.00 | 2 | 0 |
| SS Kang1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Zuhaib Zubair0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-2 (Chaloemwong Chatphaisan, 0.4) · 2-7 (Y Saranonnakkun, 2.0) · 3-10 (Akshaykumar Yadav, 2.3) · 4-11 (S Rungrueang, 3.1) · 5-16 (Austin Lazarus, 5.1) · 6-30 (N Salekar, 8.1) · 7-30 (Chanchai Pengkumta, 8.3) · 8-36 (Nopphon Senamontree, 11.2) · 9-37 (A Kalasi, 12.1) · 10-37 (Sarawut Maliwan, 12.2)
Recorded target: 193 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 3 | 7/2 |
| 3 | 4 | 11/3 |
| 4 | 2 | 13/4 |
| 5 | 3 | 16/4 |
| 6 | 0 | 16/5 |
| 7 | 7 | 23/5 |
| 8 | 7 | 30/5 |
| 9 | 1 | 31/7 |
| 10 | 1 | 32/7 |
| 11 | 4 | 36/7 |
| 12 | 1 | 37/8 |
| 13 | 0 | 37/10 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
