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Photo: HLloyd8
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
8 Jul 2026 · T20
Sophia Gardens, Cardiff · Venue photographRecorded result
Northamptonshire started on 53%; Northamptonshire batted first.
Northamptonshire's chances ranged from 51% to 100% during the match (Glamorgan: 0% to 49%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kiran Carlsoncaught and bowled · Calvin Harrison6 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Calvin Harrison | 42 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 210.00 |
| William Smalerun out · Ricardo Vasconcelos, Lewis McManus · Saif Zaib 0 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Ricardo Vasconcelos, Lewis McManus | 15 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 166.67 |
| BI Kellawaycaught · David Willey · Saif Zaib 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · David Willey · b Saif Zaib | 24 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 120.00 |
| Asa Tribecaught · Ricardo Vasconcelos · Calvin Harrison 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ricardo Vasconcelos · b Calvin Harrison | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
 |
| caught and bowled · b Saif Zaib |
| 7 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 77.78 |
 Chris Cookecaught · Calvin Harrison · George Scrimshaw0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Calvin Harrison · b George Scrimshaw | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 107.69 |
|---|
| James Neeshamlbw · Calvin Harrison 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Calvin Harrison | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Daniel Douthwaitebowled · James Sales 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b James Sales | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Nathan McAndrewcaught · Nathan McSweeney · James Sales 1 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Nathan McSweeney · b James Sales | 36 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 211.76 |
|---|
 Timm van der Gugtenbowled · David Willey0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b David Willey | 13 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 130.00 |
|---|
 Mason Cranenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Willey0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 10.33 | 1 | 0 |
| RA Weatherall0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Saif Zaib0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
| James Sales0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.3 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 8.40 | 0 | 0 |
| Calvin Harrison0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
 George Scrimshaw0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 11.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-34 (William Smale, 3.0) · 2-65 (Kiran Carlson, 6.4) · 3-79 (Asa Tribe, 8.1) · 4-88 (BI Kellaway, 9.5) · 5-97 (Sean Dickson, 11.4) · 6-106 (James Neesham, 13.0) · 7-108 (Chris Cooke, 13.3) · 8-118 (Daniel Douthwaite, 14.2) · 9-158 (Timm van der Gugten, 18.0) · 10-164 (Nathan McAndrew, 18.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 14/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 29/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 34/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 41/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 53/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 62/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 65/2 |
| 8 | 14 | 79/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 83/3 |
| 10 | 6 | 89/4 |
| 11 | 5 | 94/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 98/5 |
| 13 | 8 | 106/6 |
| 14 | 8 | 114/7 |
| 15 | 8 | 122/8 |
| 16 | 12 | 134/8 |
| 17 | 15 | 149/8 |
| 18 | 9 | 158/9 |
| 19 | 6 | 164/10 |
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
George Scrimshaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Cooke: Dave Morton · Public domain
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Lynn: Haley Jackson · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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