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Photo: HLloyd8
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
18 Jul 2025 · T20
Sophia Gardens, Cardiff · Venue photographRecorded result
Glamorgan started on 58%; Glamorgan batted first.
Glamorgan's chances ranged from 57% to 100% during the match (Middlesex: 0% to 43%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Eskinazirun out · BI Kellaway · Imad Wasim 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · BI Kellaway | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Ben Geddescaught · Timm van der Gugten · Ned Leonard 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Timm van der Gugten · b Ned Leonard | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 125.00 |
| Max Holdencaught · Alex Horton · Timm van der Gugten 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Horton · b Timm van der Gugten | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
 Kane Williamsoncaught · Asa Tribe · Imad Wasim6 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Asa Tribe · b Imad Wasim | 63 | 42 | 6 | 3 | 150.00 |
 |
| caught · Daniel Douthwaite · b Ned Leonard |
| 14 |
| 12 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 116.67 |
 Ryan Higginscaught · Ned Leonard · Daniel Douthwaite0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ned Leonard · b Daniel Douthwaite | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
| Joe Cracknellrun out · BI Kellaway · Mason Crane 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · BI Kellaway | 14 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 127.27 |
|---|
 Luke Hollmancaught · Alex Horton · Daniel Douthwaite0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Horton · b Daniel Douthwaite | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
 Zafar Goharcaught · BI Kellaway · Daniel Douthwaite0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · BI Kellaway · b Daniel Douthwaite | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Noah Cornwellcaught · Kiran Carlson · Daniel Douthwaite0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kiran Carlson · b Daniel Douthwaite | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 114.29 |
|---|
| JJ Feldmannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Imad Wasim0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Timm van der Gugten0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Ned Leonard0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Mason Crane0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Douthwaite0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 5.74 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Stephen Eskinazi, 0.4) · 2-2 (Max Holden, 1.1) · 3-30 (Ben Geddes, 4.4) · 4-75 (Leus du Plooy, 9.4) · 5-81 (Ryan Higgins, 11.2) · 6-102 (Kane Williamson, 13.5) · 7-116 (Luke Hollman, 15.5) · 8-119 (Joe Cracknell, 16.2) · 9-129 (Noah Cornwell, 18.1) · 10-132 (Zafar Gohar, 18.5)
Recorded target: 185 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 1 | 3/2 |
| 3 | 5 | 8/2 |
| 4 | 8 | 16/2 |
| 5 | 16 | 32/3 |
| 6 | 17 | 49/3 |
| 7 | 7 | 56/3 |
| 8 | 7 | 63/3 |
| 9 | 7 | 70/3 |
| 10 | 6 | 76/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 80/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 84/5 |
| 13 | 6 | 90/5 |
| 14 | 13 | 103/6 |
| 15 | 5 | 108/6 |
| 16 | 9 | 117/7 |
| 17 | 8 | 125/8 |
| 18 | 4 | 129/8 |
| 19 | 3 | 132/10 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ned Leonard: Dave Morton · Public domain
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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