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Photo: HLloyd8
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
18 Jul 2025 · T20
Sophia Gardens, Cardiff · Venue photographRecorded result
Glamorgan started on 58%; Glamorgan batted first.
Glamorgan's chances ranged from 57% to 100% during the match (Middlesex: 0% to 43%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kiran Carlsonbowled · JJ Feldman3 fours · 5 sixes | bowled · b JJ Feldman | 49 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 257.89 |
| William Smalecaught · Ryan Higgins · Zafar Gohar 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Ryan Higgins · b Zafar Gohar | 31 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 129.17 |
| Alex Hortoncaught · Ben Geddes · Luke Hollman 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Geddes · b Luke Hollman | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 70.00 |
| BI Kellawaycaught · Leus du Plooy · JJ Feldman 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Leus du Plooy · b JJ Feldman | 40 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 160.00 |
| Colin Ingrambowled · Zafar Gohar 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Zafar Gohar |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 33.33 |
| Asa Tribecaught · Kane Williamson · Ryan Higgins 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kane Williamson · b Ryan Higgins | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 108.33 |
|---|
| Daniel Douthwaitecaught · Ryan Higgins · Noah Cornwell 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ryan Higgins · b Noah Cornwell | 24 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 171.43 |
|---|
 Imad Wasimnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 111.11 |
|---|
 Timm van der Gugtencaught · Joe Cracknell · Noah Cornwell0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joe Cracknell · b Noah Cornwell | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Mason Cranecaught · Joe Cracknell · Noah Cornwell0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joe Cracknell · b Noah Cornwell | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Ned Leonardnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zafar Gohar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 2 | 10.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Noah Cornwell0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 3 | 8.50 | 5 | 0 |
 Ryan Higgins0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 45 | 1 | 11.25 | 1 | 0 |
| JJ Feldman0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 2 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Luke Hollman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-78 (Kiran Carlson, 6.2) · 2-86 (William Smale, 8.1) · 3-96 (Alex Horton, 9.4) · 4-97 (Colin Ingram, 10.1) · 5-126 (Asa Tribe, 13.5) · 6-170 (BI Kellaway, 17.2) · 7-176 (Daniel Douthwaite, 18.3) · 8-176 (Timm van der Gugten, 18.4) · 9-176 (Mason Crane, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 30/0 |
| 4 | 19 | 49/0 |
| 5 | 11 | 60/0 |
| 6 | 17 | 77/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 83/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 86/1 |
| 9 | 7 | 93/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 97/3 |
| 11 | 7 | 104/4 |
| 12 | 5 | 109/4 |
| 13 | 7 | 116/4 |
| 14 | 10 | 126/5 |
| 15 | 14 | 140/5 |
| 16 | 10 | 150/5 |
| 17 | 16 | 166/5 |
| 18 | 8 | 174/6 |
| 19 | 2 | 176/9 |
| 20 | 8 | 184/9 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ned Leonard: Dave Morton · Public domain
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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